{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4cabfe2f-3823-451c-b091-5f3c8c7d9743", "symbol": "SBFG", "name": "SB Financial Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.115, "architecture_energy": 66.523, "architecture_maturity": 45.675, "architecture_confidence": 83.277, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.37, "rotation_up": 72.31, "upward_expansion": 87.96, "deceleration": 49.44, "rotation_down": 14.2, "downward_expansion": 12.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 26.484, 25.829636, 24.380913, 23.47596 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 26.97, "trend_reference": 22.551392, "distance_from_trend": 0.195935, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.97045, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.500797, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.233591, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.237532, "excess_performance": 0.050078, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.195935, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05915, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.500797, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.196184, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.092336, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.181795, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.237532, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.592679, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83882, "relative_activity": 0.638521, "balance": 6.592679, "dry_up": 0.768094, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064789, "annualized_volatility": 0.256068, "from_high_reference": -0.025826, "from_low_reference": 0.518871 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.551392, "fair_value_reference": 17.97045, "structural_low": 19.38908, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.002663, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.016551, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.174344, "worst_return": -0.158451, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.109065, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.064387, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.292983, "worst_return": -0.183043, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.012504, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.010505, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.577658, "worst_return": -0.130907, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.926873, "energy": 76.000203, "activity_lines": [ 24.151333, 23.253366, 22.431877, 22.055451 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.27, "volume": 170149, "typical_volume": 126006.15, "trend": 21.888398, "fair_value": 17.612506, "relative_strength": 6.976525, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.202357, "energy": 84.039648, "activity_lines": [ 25.016667, 23.908065, 22.858318, 22.345835 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.08, "volume": 118930, "typical_volume": 128663.2, "trend": 22.03342, "fair_value": 17.706357, "relative_strength": 14.729412, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.812009, "energy": 88.760012, "activity_lines": [ 25.882, 24.623818, 23.339179, 22.680777 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.62, "volume": 108766, "typical_volume": 130981.35, "trend": 22.168527, "fair_value": 17.790151, "relative_strength": 10.086422, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.884079, "energy": 78.166354, "activity_lines": [ 26.009333, 24.983818, 23.650158, 22.912169 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.28, "volume": 92038, "typical_volume": 131976.45, "trend": 22.342712, "fair_value": 17.879047, "relative_strength": 11.999596, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.101971, "energy": 75.455691, "activity_lines": [ 26.182667, 25.384545, 23.99827, 23.177425 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.97, "volume": 83882, "typical_volume": 131369.3, "trend": 22.551392, "fair_value": 17.97045, "relative_strength": 9.233591, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.115011, "energy": 66.523457, "activity_lines": [ 26.484, 25.829636, 24.380913, 23.47596 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }