{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4cb1099c-e819-4b45-82d7-35565bf92f59", "symbol": "3169", "name": "ASIX Electronics Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 85.591, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 5.251, "architecture_energy": 12.864, "architecture_maturity": 22.896, "architecture_confidence": 66.851, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.81, "rotation_up": 20.07, "upward_expansion": 41.81, "deceleration": 73.68, "rotation_down": 35.86, "downward_expansion": 38.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 100.553334, 101.794347, 103.999091, 102.577447 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 100.0, "trend_reference": 100.368527, "distance_from_trend": -0.003672, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 101.516549, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.014939, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.305438, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.0761, "excess_performance": -0.365272, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003672, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045189, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.014939, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073097, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.263054, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057085, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0761, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.51474, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 337356, "relative_activity": 0.138797, "balance": 0.51474, "dry_up": 0.309304, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.104383, "annualized_volatility": 0.412706, "from_high_reference": -0.193136, "from_low_reference": 0.227627 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 100.368527, "fair_value_reference": 101.516549, "structural_low": 86.026633, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.03939, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.029026, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.108434, "worst_return": -0.24356, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.024, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.147807, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.971119, "worst_return": -0.283293, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.008514, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.268235, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.447653, "worst_return": -0.433021, "sufficient": false }, { 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[ 103.229317, 105.497038, 104.651459, 102.317541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.0, "volume": 996309, "typical_volume": 2440996.3, "trend": 99.663656, "fair_value": 101.554898, "relative_strength": -22.916129, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.162445, "energy": 10.225773, "activity_lines": [ 102.446667, 104.482318, 104.648737, 102.490709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 98.5, "volume": 1116141, "typical_volume": 2461545.9, "trend": 99.872064, "fair_value": 101.554729, "relative_strength": -24.084502, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.296866, "energy": 10.902146, "activity_lines": [ 100.793334, 102.929631, 104.279666, 102.415634 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 102.5, "volume": 557339, "typical_volume": 2440326.65, "trend": 100.11984, "fair_value": 101.550962, "relative_strength": -22.407205, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.85327, "energy": 12.288476, "activity_lines": [ 100.94, 102.469496, 104.271032, 102.585178 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 100.0, "volume": 337356, "typical_volume": 2430572.85, "trend": 100.368527, "fair_value": 101.516549, "relative_strength": -26.305438, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.25061, "energy": 12.864021, "activity_lines": [ 100.553334, 101.794347, 103.999091, 102.577447 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }