{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4cb1e314-4b5d-49ad-be89-4e9ea7adaad9",
    "symbol": "FME",
    "name": "Fresenius Medical Care AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.822,
    "architecture_energy": 68.056,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.783,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.398,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.54,
        "rotation_up": 73.26,
        "upward_expansion": 89.5,
        "deceleration": 47.67,
        "rotation_down": 12.34,
        "downward_expansion": 13.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        42.951333,
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        40.482891,
        39.670939
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 42.049999,
    "trend_reference": 38.763388,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.084786,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.213766,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100389,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.134219,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.076049,
    "excess_performance": 0.01141,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084786,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02239,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100389,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161016,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021342,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114073,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.076049,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.44331,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6533505,
      "relative_activity": 2.07196,
      "balance": 1.44331,
      "dry_up": 1.332334,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.043953,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.189621,
      "from_high_reference": -0.08628,
      "from_low_reference": 0.264988
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.763388,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.213766,
      "structural_low": 33.241414,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.025217,
        "positive_rate": 0.421053,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.421053,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029904,
        "regime_survival": 0.684211,
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        "worst_return": -0.094748,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.237897,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.071476,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.081665,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3325159,
        "typical_volume": 3173333.35,
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        "fair_value": 38.208883,
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        "direction": 76.030817,
        "energy": 83.286041,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 43.27,
        "volume": 3266265,
        "typical_volume": 3054678.1,
        "trend": 38.433659,
        "fair_value": 38.210267,
        "relative_strength": 5.500007,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.435624,
        "energy": 86.422747,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.277334,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.45,
        "volume": 3680057,
        "typical_volume": 3052626.3,
        "trend": 38.627786,
        "fair_value": 38.221252,
        "relative_strength": 6.187559,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.838524,
        "energy": 89.549893,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.134,
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          40.194269,
          39.450151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.049999,
        "volume": 6533505,
        "typical_volume": 3153297.35,
        "trend": 38.763388,
        "fair_value": 38.213766,
        "relative_strength": -2.134219,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.822064,
        "energy": 68.055561,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.951333,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}