{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4cc8d370-5610-4199-895a-00ee95e42e89", "symbol": "300609", "name": "Winner Technology Co., Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.144, "architecture_energy": 83.585, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.588, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.54, "rotation_up": 9.39, "upward_expansion": 20.56, "deceleration": 37.37, "rotation_down": 78.25, "downward_expansion": 96.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.304, 27.432546, 31.301477, 33.072495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 26.190001, "trend_reference": 35.500667, "distance_from_trend": -0.262267, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.718488, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.11873, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.587462, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.330693, "excess_performance": -0.338092, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.262267, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089789, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.11873, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.579981, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.345875, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.241185, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.330693, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.464373, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24164662, "relative_activity": 1.486777, "balance": 0.464373, "dry_up": 1.208255, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143038, "annualized_volatility": 0.426384, "from_high_reference": -0.586256, "from_low_reference": 0.217007 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.500667, "fair_value_reference": 29.718488, 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"trend": 37.248, "fair_value": 29.770806, "relative_strength": -34.158075, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.22153, "energy": 77.053625, "activity_lines": [ 31.078667, 33.076182, 35.152524, 36.090258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.08, "volume": 17195200, "typical_volume": 16966744.85, "trend": 36.817, "fair_value": 29.753998, "relative_strength": -36.878569, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.045637, "energy": 87.239372, "activity_lines": [ 28.882, 31.242909, 34.108334, 35.305226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.709999, "volume": 19951489, "typical_volume": 16684399.6, "trend": 36.357, "fair_value": 29.735764, "relative_strength": -39.944432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.381282, "energy": 90.292819, "activity_lines": [ 26.703333, 29.48, 33.000238, 34.459613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.58, "volume": 17240014, "typical_volume": 16216478.1, "trend": 35.913334, "fair_value": 29.716131, "relative_strength": -36.174382, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.134536, "energy": 89.47575, "activity_lines": [ 25.483333, 28.181818, 32.046334, 33.699807 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.190001, "volume": 24164662, "typical_volume": 16253055.4, "trend": 35.500667, "fair_value": 29.718488, "relative_strength": -34.587462, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.144475, "energy": 83.584725, "activity_lines": [ 25.304, 27.432546, 31.301477, 33.072495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }