{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ccf24c5-fea1-41c8-98c7-d1cf94672239", "symbol": "AMZN", "name": "Amazon.com, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 83.371, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.359, "architecture_energy": 65.067, "architecture_maturity": 15.799, "architecture_confidence": 72.777, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.71, "rotation_up": 69.42, "upward_expansion": 85.72, "deceleration": 46.96, "rotation_down": 14.52, "downward_expansion": 14.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 226.720001, 220.030001, 219.306287, 213.100259 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 240.75, "trend_reference": 205.333667, "distance_from_trend": 0.172482, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 179.674423, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.339924, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.552049, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.388729, "excess_performance": 0.214482, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.172482, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029766, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.339924, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.01357, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.02552, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037366, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.388729, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.771377, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3265, "relative_activity": 1.078376, "balance": 2.771377, "dry_up": 1.090184, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057602, "annualized_volatility": 0.343482, "from_high_reference": -0.030797, "from_low_reference": 0.446989 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 205.333667, "fair_value_reference": 179.674423, "structural_low": 166.380005, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.010863, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.000228, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.136132, "worst_return": -0.192973, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.030967, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.043913, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.19029, "worst_return": -0.154545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.045597, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.054601, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.280609, "worst_return": -0.09863, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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3529.7, "trend": 201.953668, "fair_value": 177.08609, "relative_strength": -11.959444, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.325393, "energy": 21.44285, "activity_lines": [ 211.103336, 214.939092, 213.706048, 207.665614 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 217.550003, "volume": 3488, "typical_volume": 3488.3, "trend": 202.718668, "fair_value": 177.729102, "relative_strength": -8.97555, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.150396, "energy": 15.682517, "activity_lines": [ 213.71667, 214.640911, 214.739858, 208.671829 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 205.399994, "volume": 2925, "typical_volume": 3200.95, "trend": 203.028667, "fair_value": 178.278461, "relative_strength": -14.771768, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.173622, "energy": 9.582616, "activity_lines": [ 211.456667, 212.391819, 214.420477, 208.844818 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 232.600006, "volume": 3525, "typical_volume": 3118.35, "trend": 204.362, "fair_value": 178.939487, "relative_strength": -3.22462, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.443796, "energy": 34.263973, "activity_lines": [ 218.700002, 215.475456, 216.59643, 210.752646 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 240.75, "volume": 3265, "typical_volume": 3027.7, "trend": 205.333667, "fair_value": 179.674423, "relative_strength": -2.552049, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.358661, "energy": 65.067144, "activity_lines": [ 226.720001, 220.030001, 219.306287, 213.100259 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }