{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4cd61473-5585-414c-a76f-e479d7431913", "symbol": "PROZONER", "name": "Prozone Realty Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.156, "architecture_energy": 72.96, "architecture_maturity": 23.521, "architecture_confidence": 91.156, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.79, "rotation_up": 12.75, "upward_expansion": 17.12, "deceleration": 37.56, "rotation_down": 71.14, "downward_expansion": 92.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.848668, 44.277273, 47.633048, 48.66972 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 42.740002, "trend_reference": 49.930667, "distance_from_trend": -0.144013, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 38.821538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100935, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.435315, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.147927, "excess_performance": -0.104217, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.144013, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06349, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.100935, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.315968, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.164353, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.264289, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.147927, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.704864, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 664396, "relative_activity": 0.576277, "balance": 0.704864, "dry_up": 0.711305, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091051, "annualized_volatility": 0.528751, "from_high_reference": -0.41267, "from_low_reference": 0.087255 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.930667, "fair_value_reference": 38.821538, "structural_low": 39.549999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.028491, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.015498, "regime_survival": 0.65, "best_return": 0.53322, "worst_return": -0.194375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.030804, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.011957, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.301624, "worst_return": -0.091912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.009627, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.022344, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.409849, "worst_return": -0.189109, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.072175, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.125317, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.041185, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.530178, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.078729, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-03-20", 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1180488.95, "trend": 51.327333, "fair_value": 38.501859, "relative_strength": -13.950922, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.059132, "energy": 67.310936, "activity_lines": [ 45.180667, 46.96, 49.734047, 50.264516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.799999, "volume": 1283162, "typical_volume": 1198670.8, "trend": 51.031666, "fair_value": 38.617564, "relative_strength": -11.544324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.836973, "energy": 64.720486, "activity_lines": [ 44.482, 46.100181, 49.13019, 49.778881 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 41.580002, "volume": 646031, "typical_volume": 1177185.25, "trend": 50.480333, "fair_value": 38.72, "relative_strength": -18.116972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.106413, "energy": 74.023121, "activity_lines": [ 43.318667, 44.992545, 48.323095, 49.169097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.740002, "volume": 664396, "typical_volume": 1152909.95, "trend": 49.930667, "fair_value": 38.821538, "relative_strength": -16.435315, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.155944, "energy": 72.959792, "activity_lines": [ 42.848668, 44.277273, 47.633048, 48.66972 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }