{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4cdb3c4e-bf5d-4782-8e5f-77ab6a717e5e", "symbol": "PROXI", "name": "Proximar Seafood AS", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.92, "architecture_energy": 43.838, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.759, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.21, "rotation_up": 23.8, "upward_expansion": 5.88, "deceleration": 59.9, "rotation_down": 51.62, "downward_expansion": 79.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.438267, 0.444982, 0.459648, 0.483591 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.431, "trend_reference": 0.5295, "distance_from_trend": -0.186025, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.528535, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.829546, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -43.663333, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.336923, "excess_performance": -0.461917, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.186025, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.138838, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.829546, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002419, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.436633, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199244, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.336923, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.409684, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 610659, "relative_activity": 0.353911, "balance": 0.409684, "dry_up": 0.348215, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097626, "annualized_volatility": 0.370087, "from_high_reference": -0.652419, "from_low_reference": 0.038554 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.5295, "fair_value_reference": 2.528535, "structural_low": 0.415, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.026069, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.576923, "median_excess_return": -0.067361, "regime_survival": 0.884615, "best_return": 0.403403, "worst_return": -0.601449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.142857, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.239046, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.282051, "worst_return": -0.636986, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.216981, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.328436, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.277293, "worst_return": -0.650165, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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-61.36097, "energy": 68.862099, "activity_lines": [ 0.4504, 0.460509, 0.476876, 0.511755 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.478, "volume": 267812, "typical_volume": 2270909.8, "trend": 0.556, "fair_value": 2.610362, "relative_strength": -39.909013, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.392158, "energy": 47.287659, "activity_lines": [ 0.4584, 0.462236, 0.47479, 0.506271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.436, "volume": 994586, "typical_volume": 2035362.7, "trend": 0.5474, "fair_value": 2.583433, "relative_strength": -45.195869, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.123075, "energy": 46.952609, "activity_lines": [ 0.4526, 0.456382, 0.469524, 0.498529 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.424, "volume": 530263, "typical_volume": 1977300.65, "trend": 0.539133, "fair_value": 2.556661, "relative_strength": -45.731752, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.084555, "energy": 46.329466, "activity_lines": [ 0.443733, 0.449509, 0.463895, 0.490568 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.431, "volume": 610659, "typical_volume": 1725459.2, "trend": 0.5295, "fair_value": 2.528535, "relative_strength": -43.663333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.920339, "energy": 43.837675, "activity_lines": [ 0.438267, 0.444982, 0.459648, 0.483591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }