{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4cf0240e-8f2e-457a-aaec-a4b139bd9982",
    "symbol": "TCF",
    "name": "360 Capital Mortgage REIT",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 87.648,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.59,
    "architecture_energy": 18.768,
    "architecture_maturity": 13.538,
    "architecture_confidence": 44.28,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.19,
        "rotation_up": 38.69,
        "upward_expansion": 59.39,
        "deceleration": 60.57,
        "rotation_down": 23.77,
        "downward_expansion": 16.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.709564,
        5.70171,
        5.705788,
        5.692397
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 5.74,
    "trend_reference": 5.6679,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.012721,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.929671,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.164378,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.425,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.019367,
    "excess_performance": -0.044339,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012721,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01577,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.164378,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032571,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.02425,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059526,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019367,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.517125,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 11529,
      "relative_activity": 0.27898,
      "balance": 0.517125,
      "dry_up": 1.083125,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.013293,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.053444,
      "from_high_reference": -0.01033,
      "from_low_reference": 0.09658
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.6679,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.929671,
      "structural_low": 5.533689,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.010907,
        "positive_rate": 0.6875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002689,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.036862,
        "worst_return": -0.086116,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.009825,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02043,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.050665,
        "worst_return": -0.040317,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.031674,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015138,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.059204,
        "worst_return": -0.016634,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.028463,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01859,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.086502,
        "worst_return": -0.029575,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.004921,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-01-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.037697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-19",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001968,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039598,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.181938,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.000374,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.101024,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042021,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015845,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.028029,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": -0.01187,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-04-10",
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        "return": 0.014035,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 2e-06,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.012253,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 11496.75,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.599565,
        "energy": 17.210053,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 4.873553,
        "relative_strength": 1.552164,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 15.780102,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 39611,
        "typical_volume": 51011.95,
        "trend": 5.641661,
        "fair_value": 4.88524,
        "relative_strength": 1.815141,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.534822,
        "energy": 15.422974,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 5.670519,
        "volume": 79257,
        "typical_volume": 50143.55,
        "trend": 5.648101,
        "fair_value": 4.896416,
        "relative_strength": 1.529846,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.964474,
        "energy": 14.4326,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.684384,
          5.69914,
          5.698891,
          5.681539
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.650692,
        "volume": 52578,
        "typical_volume": 47490.0,
        "trend": 5.653564,
        "fair_value": 4.907055,
        "relative_strength": 1.41124,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.888909,
        "energy": 9.13989,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.67118,
          5.688141,
          5.695847,
          5.681706
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.74,
        "volume": 35679,
        "typical_volume": 44533.55,
        "trend": 5.660732,
        "fair_value": 4.918266,
        "relative_strength": 0.654535,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.226616,
        "energy": 11.783675,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.693018,
          5.694831,
          5.701309,
          5.687283
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.74,
        "volume": 11529,
        "typical_volume": 41325.55,
        "trend": 5.6679,
        "fair_value": 4.929671,
        "relative_strength": -2.425,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.590152,
        "energy": 18.767879,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.709564,
          5.70171,
          5.705788,
          5.692397
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}