{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4cf8fe83-b715-4f7c-a799-05070868ccbf", "symbol": "UXIN", "name": "Uxin Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.532, "architecture_energy": 64.103, "architecture_maturity": 53.319, "architecture_confidence": 93.029, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.24, "rotation_up": 22.55, "upward_expansion": 10.73, "deceleration": 55.05, "rotation_down": 64.74, "downward_expansion": 86.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.443333, 1.564273, 1.8905, 2.213882 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.28, "trend_reference": 2.628167, "distance_from_trend": -0.512968, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.464292, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.71328, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -61.977797, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.625731, "excess_performance": -0.813185, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.512968, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155519, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.71328, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.202228, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.619778, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.271247, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.625731, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.435265, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3679829, "relative_activity": 2.993244, "balance": 0.435265, "dry_up": 1.488148, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.306106, "annualized_volatility": 0.526943, "from_high_reference": -0.715556, "from_low_reference": 0.428093 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.628167, "fair_value_reference": 4.464292, "structural_low": 0.8963, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.08134, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.0911, "regime_survival": 0.85, "best_return": 2.687943, "worst_return": -0.579688, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.184275, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.240316, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 2.733728, "worst_return": -0.833068, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.290612, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.412324, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 1.565041, "worst_return": -0.834646, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.309192, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.280079, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.316261, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.208333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.03523, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.030387, 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"volume": 1152027, "typical_volume": 1011194.7, "trend": 2.8615, "fair_value": 4.7491, "relative_strength": -50.962022, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.45165, "energy": 63.465248, "activity_lines": [ 1.702333, 1.821091, 2.185857, 2.483914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.5, "volume": 720166, "typical_volume": 1019836.05, "trend": 2.784167, "fair_value": 4.651664, "relative_strength": -54.699697, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.74472, "energy": 63.319615, "activity_lines": [ 1.631333, 1.738273, 2.088738, 2.396075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.39, "volume": 1765967, "typical_volume": 1072879.0, "trend": 2.709833, "fair_value": 4.553523, "relative_strength": -57.468608, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.633009, "energy": 61.81551, "activity_lines": [ 1.551667, 1.654364, 1.98981, 2.306129 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.28, "volume": 3679829, "typical_volume": 1229378.25, "trend": 2.628167, "fair_value": 4.464292, "relative_strength": -61.977797, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.532011, "energy": 64.102579, "activity_lines": [ 1.443333, 1.564273, 1.8905, 2.213882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }