{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4cfb251f-19bb-4b66-abac-98a4db69c3b8", "symbol": "IMOM", "name": "ALPHA ARCHITECT INTERNATIONAL QUANTITATIVE MOMENTUM ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -24.629, "architecture_energy": 48.773, "architecture_maturity": 8.034, "architecture_confidence": 75.616, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.7, "rotation_up": 15.26, "upward_expansion": 24.73, "deceleration": 50.3, "rotation_down": 66.99, "downward_expansion": 54.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.062573, 41.708333, 42.715505, 42.709043 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 41.59, "trend_reference": 42.67525, "distance_from_trend": -0.02543, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.96936, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.34294, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -8.501588, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.021181, "excess_performance": -0.208635, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.02543, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038429, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.34294, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.199834, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.085016, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102654, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.021181, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.811932, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120260, "relative_activity": 1.48577, "balance": 0.811932, "dry_up": 1.069807, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046254, "annualized_volatility": 0.241456, "from_high_reference": -0.099199, "from_low_reference": 0.266253 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 42.67525, "fair_value_reference": 30.96936, "structural_low": 38.155, "invalidation": "A decisive 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40.9757, "volume": 104635, "typical_volume": 82699.7, "trend": 42.594417, "fair_value": 30.740988, "relative_strength": -4.7814, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.817067, "energy": 48.901593, "activity_lines": [ 41.476947, 42.40476, 43.053545, 42.916914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.435, "volume": 58921, "typical_volume": 79164.0, "trend": 42.652583, "fair_value": 30.85149, "relative_strength": -6.547819, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.367701, "energy": 55.618012, "activity_lines": [ 41.00622, 41.911327, 42.830537, 42.777597 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 41.59, "volume": 120260, "typical_volume": 80941.2, "trend": 42.67525, "fair_value": 30.96936, "relative_strength": -8.501588, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.628937, "energy": 48.772712, "activity_lines": [ 41.062573, 41.708333, 42.715505, 42.709043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }