{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d251714-77df-4236-9792-d5c7a9419901", "symbol": "CAHUSA", "name": "UBS MSCI Canada UCITS ETF hUSD acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 95.758, "architecture_energy": 88.372, "architecture_maturity": 39.128, "architecture_confidence": 75.61, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.42, "rotation_up": 82.27, "upward_expansion": 95.2, "deceleration": 43.45, "rotation_down": 16.29, "downward_expansion": 17.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.136, 57.583999, 56.595047, 55.59757 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 59.209999, "trend_reference": 54.366, "distance_from_trend": 0.0891, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.564365, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.459656, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.712977, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.158935, "excess_performance": 0.076052, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.0891, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049236, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.459656, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03294, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.03713, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06479, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.158935, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.13219, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 61667, "relative_activity": 7.387924, "balance": 9.13219, "dry_up": 2.072841, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.011407, "annualized_volatility": 0.107861, "from_high_reference": -0.001854, "from_low_reference": 0.35461 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.366, "fair_value_reference": 40.564365, "structural_low": 50.279999, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.655778, "energy": 92.330277, "activity_lines": [ 56.799333, 56.399454, 55.326762, 54.497828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 57.599998, "volume": 2542, "typical_volume": 8415.1, "trend": 53.656333, "fair_value": 40.010679, "relative_strength": 2.924099, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.073328, "energy": 94.399975, "activity_lines": [ 57.101999, 56.698545, 55.635238, 54.767806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 57.59, "volume": 1439, "typical_volume": 7206.15, "trend": 53.887666, "fair_value": 40.189269, "relative_strength": 2.800864, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.260166, "energy": 92.41415, "activity_lines": [ 57.331999, 56.940545, 55.925238, 55.021591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.720001, "volume": 3560, "typical_volume": 6001.6, "trend": 54.114666, "fair_value": 40.373275, "relative_strength": 2.697581, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.568351, "energy": 90.971008, "activity_lines": [ 57.531333, 57.147454, 56.202952, 55.268839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.209999, "volume": 61667, "typical_volume": 8347.0, "trend": 54.366, "fair_value": 40.564365, "relative_strength": 3.712977, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.758081, "energy": 88.371949, "activity_lines": [ 58.136, 57.583999, 56.595047, 55.59757 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }