{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d28537d-832e-4910-88d0-933b311e1be0", "symbol": "BN", "name": "Brookfield Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.667, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.699, "architecture_energy": 24.341, "architecture_maturity": 20.289, "architecture_confidence": 63.001, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.65, "rotation_up": 24.61, "upward_expansion": 14.14, "deceleration": 46.64, "rotation_down": 46.06, "downward_expansion": 48.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.101333, 43.299698, 43.945946, 43.748201 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 44.08, "trend_reference": 43.921114, "distance_from_trend": 0.003618, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.780596, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.231953, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.778171, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.021779, "excess_performance": -0.147404, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003618, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016665, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.231953, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154562, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.117782, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074133, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.021779, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.767046, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26205672, "relative_activity": 1.136567, "balance": 0.767046, "dry_up": 0.903146, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049539, "annualized_volatility": 0.27906, "from_high_reference": -0.10773, "from_low_reference": 0.163922 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.921114, "fair_value_reference": 35.780596, "structural_low": 37.871965, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.03395, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.028339, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.138639, "worst_return": -0.196421, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.06882, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.060325, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.287367, "worst_return": -0.194918, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.023845, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.035891, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.38086, "worst_return": -0.225143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.244218, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.000761, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.492316, "worst_return": -0.340891, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.107607, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.258635, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.112184, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.121801, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.062874, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.202213, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.128046, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.057291, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.026698, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": 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23980846.4, "trend": 44.166783, "fair_value": 35.507569, "relative_strength": -13.359105, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.966376, "energy": 42.8914, "activity_lines": [ 42.919333, 43.51163, 43.985597, 43.850911 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.53, "volume": 21728873, "typical_volume": 23062055.85, "trend": 44.035226, "fair_value": 35.6419, "relative_strength": -12.180174, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.93897, "energy": 42.030271, "activity_lines": [ 42.740667, 43.239568, 43.902167, 43.745312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.08, "volume": 26205672, "typical_volume": 23056862.3, "trend": 43.921114, "fair_value": 35.780596, "relative_strength": -11.778171, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.699486, "energy": 24.341399, "activity_lines": [ 43.101333, 43.299698, 43.945946, 43.748201 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }