{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d35e54b-f51e-4079-8d84-99563dbf66fe", "symbol": "ZECP", "name": "ZACKS EARNINGS CONSISTENT PORTFOLIO ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 76.804, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.57, "architecture_energy": 62.67, "architecture_maturity": 48.316, "architecture_confidence": 79.811, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.21, "rotation_up": 58.31, "upward_expansion": 83.1, "deceleration": 60.89, "rotation_down": 26.09, "downward_expansion": 9.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.92142, 37.742765, 37.30973, 36.761514 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 38.66, "trend_reference": 36.189567, "distance_from_trend": 0.068264, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.685964, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.259859, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.053128, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.073293, "excess_performance": -0.052332, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068264, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026884, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.259859, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026394, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.020531, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01585, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.073293, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.360708, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 268592, "relative_activity": 1.155657, "balance": 1.360708, "dry_up": 0.989963, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016761, "annualized_volatility": 0.109123, "from_high_reference": -0.004534, "from_low_reference": 0.202535 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.189567, "fair_value_reference": 30.685964, "structural_low": 32.98, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": 0.012975, "positive_rate": 0.741935, "directional_follow_through": 0.741935, "median_excess_return": -0.003748, "regime_survival": 0.83871, "best_return": 0.034286, "worst_return": -0.078146, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.046556, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.015018, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.066466, "worst_return": -0.067398, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.079321, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.020966, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.112619, "worst_return": -0.013579, "sufficient": true }, { 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30.4314, "relative_strength": -1.38916, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.172994, "energy": 72.961546, "activity_lines": [ 37.624587, 37.45272, 36.84809, 36.395507 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.2503, "volume": 227595, "typical_volume": 229778.75, "trend": 35.986567, "fair_value": 30.509976, "relative_strength": -1.332809, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.282685, "energy": 55.47782, "activity_lines": [ 37.523413, 37.445442, 36.954837, 36.481437 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.75, "volume": 210489, "typical_volume": 227852.1, "trend": 36.082233, "fair_value": 30.595507, "relative_strength": -1.048326, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.573886, "energy": 52.89962, "activity_lines": [ 37.586453, 37.51774, 37.097364, 36.595207 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.66, "volume": 268592, "typical_volume": 232415.05, "trend": 36.189567, "fair_value": 30.685964, "relative_strength": -2.053128, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.570022, "energy": 62.669803, "activity_lines": [ 37.92142, 37.742765, 37.30973, 36.761514 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }