{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d5ad4f5-0a76-4e0f-90db-29d67d11cbf2", "symbol": "TDTF", "name": "FLEXSHARES TRUST IBOXX 5 YR TARGET DURATION TIPS INDEX FD", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 59.752, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.538, "architecture_energy": 54.32, "architecture_maturity": 8.902, "architecture_confidence": 91.085, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.6, "rotation_up": 16.42, "upward_expansion": 10.5, "deceleration": 42.24, "rotation_down": 62.72, "downward_expansion": 86.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.313867, 23.359928, 23.46949, 23.535401 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 23.33, "trend_reference": 23.596061, "distance_from_trend": -0.011276, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 22.333462, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.044621, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.869555, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.013484, "excess_performance": -0.139109, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.011276, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001469, "read": "Falling" 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"Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.876877, "energy": 54.19568, "activity_lines": [ 23.422406, 23.482324, 23.580137, 23.611723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.386667, "volume": 617143, "typical_volume": 791579.05, "trend": 23.615603, "fair_value": 22.285763, "relative_strength": -9.035835, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.538633, "energy": 52.544243, "activity_lines": [ 23.397757, 23.455634, 23.555705, 23.596716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.247756, "volume": 516838, "typical_volume": 780193.25, "trend": 23.607624, "fair_value": 22.301023, "relative_strength": -8.781094, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.439898, "energy": 66.683377, "activity_lines": [ 23.338434, 23.410025, 23.520273, 23.572984 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.297367, "volume": 695431, "typical_volume": 771539.7, "trend": 23.602279, "fair_value": 22.316712, "relative_strength": -9.245101, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.457023, "energy": 63.886323, "activity_lines": [ 23.31192, 23.379986, 23.492292, 23.552967 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.33, "volume": 982481, "typical_volume": 789293.05, "trend": 23.596061, "fair_value": 22.333462, "relative_strength": -11.869555, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.538468, "energy": 54.320015, "activity_lines": [ 23.313867, 23.359928, 23.46949, 23.535401 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }