{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d5b18d9-f7e4-4976-abab-d0ea69f53bd9", "symbol": "000030", "name": "FAWER Automotive Parts Limited Company", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.596, "architecture_energy": 36.086, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.863, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.44, "rotation_up": 27.87, "upward_expansion": 19.37, "deceleration": 46.9, "rotation_down": 30.1, "downward_expansion": 64.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.212667, 4.156773, 4.316508, 4.526439 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.26, "trend_reference": 4.822858, "distance_from_trend": -0.116706, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.15332, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.173348, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.213862, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.222628, "excess_performance": -0.230027, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.116706, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092363, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.173348, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125394, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212139, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082903, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.222628, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.288993, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48894767, "relative_activity": 0.685596, "balance": 0.288993, "dry_up": 0.814551, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053388, "annualized_volatility": 0.292984, "from_high_reference": -0.321656, "from_low_reference": 0.097938 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.822858, "fair_value_reference": 5.15332, "structural_low": 3.88, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.018174, "positive_rate": 0.652174, "directional_follow_through": 0.347826, "median_excess_return": 0.003359, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.279476, "worst_return": -0.143925, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.058484, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.009047, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.285714, "worst_return": -0.222985, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.081187, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.003975, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.346512, "worst_return": -0.123533, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 4.921191, "fair_value": 5.162252, "relative_strength": -22.503065, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.216437, "energy": 66.042174, "activity_lines": [ 4.094667, 4.1221, 4.37461, 4.606657 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.29, "volume": 49887679, "typical_volume": 72067204.4, "trend": 4.872191, "fair_value": 5.157763, "relative_strength": -17.413426, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.88037, "energy": 49.754626, "activity_lines": [ 4.170667, 4.139889, 4.34444, 4.565935 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.26, "volume": 48894767, "typical_volume": 71317120.2, "trend": 4.822858, "fair_value": 5.15332, "relative_strength": -21.213862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.595948, "energy": 36.085776, "activity_lines": [ 4.212667, 4.156773, 4.316508, 4.526439 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }