{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d5d2a07-b602-4294-9d24-0d94627162c6", "symbol": "LWAY", "name": "Lifeway Foods Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 67.542, "architecture_energy": 54.622, "architecture_maturity": 40.973, "architecture_confidence": 85.287, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.47, "rotation_up": 60.98, "upward_expansion": 81.56, "deceleration": 63.61, "rotation_down": 19.71, "downward_expansion": 8.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.902667, 30.230545, 28.264667, 26.704624 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 31.5, "trend_reference": 24.884667, "distance_from_trend": 0.26584, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.944231, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.503994, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.661396, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.467847, "excess_performance": 0.280394, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.26584, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080853, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.503994, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.167202, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.086614, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.224254, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.467847, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.94313, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 378382, "relative_activity": 0.55346, "balance": 1.94313, "dry_up": 0.791849, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0884, "annualized_volatility": 0.491355, "from_high_reference": -0.078947, "from_low_reference": 0.819757 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.884667, "fair_value_reference": 20.944231, "structural_low": 17.31, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.037492, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": -0.002956, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.777778, "worst_return": -0.369199, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.118411, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.159466, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.744186, "worst_return": -0.39568, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.066802, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.072331, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.837209, "worst_return": -0.202128, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 20.480032, "relative_strength": 13.907479, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.775618, "energy": 88.658794, "activity_lines": [ 30.905333, 28.662182, 26.821476, 25.502925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.44, "volume": 770456, "typical_volume": 676700.65, "trend": 24.361333, "fair_value": 20.636635, "relative_strength": 10.41201, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.616681, "energy": 82.690162, "activity_lines": [ 31.091333, 29.264182, 27.333095, 25.909484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.78, "volume": 310485, "typical_volume": 684915.55, "trend": 24.594, "fair_value": 20.782692, "relative_strength": 7.706528, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.743247, "energy": 67.120901, "activity_lines": [ 30.723333, 29.632909, 27.738095, 26.259075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.5, "volume": 378382, "typical_volume": 683665.9, "trend": 24.884667, "fair_value": 20.944231, "relative_strength": 8.661396, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.542103, "energy": 54.62237, "activity_lines": [ 30.902667, 30.230545, 28.264667, 26.704624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }