{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4d683c93-9ab6-4609-a6b0-4a04caff639d",
    "symbol": "600008",
    "name": "Beijing Capital Eco-Environment Protection Group Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 92.627,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -50.016,
    "architecture_energy": 30.713,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.428,
    "architecture_confidence": 56.566,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.65,
        "rotation_up": 24.14,
        "upward_expansion": 14.93,
        "deceleration": 66.62,
        "rotation_down": 40.52,
        "downward_expansion": 64.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        2.970645
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 2.84,
    "trend_reference": 3.016023,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.058363,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.850363,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.003636,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.414288,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.077922,
    "excess_performance": -0.034718,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058363,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014428,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003636,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073258,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064143,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038615,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077922,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.173881,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 421082464,
      "relative_activity": 1.296342,
      "balance": 1.173881,
      "dry_up": 1.313479,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042138,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.186528,
      "from_high_reference": -0.153532,
      "from_low_reference": 0.036496
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.016023,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.850363,
      "structural_low": 2.74,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.012903,
        "positive_rate": 0.684211,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.315789,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016536,
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        "worst_return": -0.0875,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.112628,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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    ],
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.89,
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        "typical_volume": 337362684.05,
        "trend": 3.02137,
        "fair_value": 2.846566,
        "relative_strength": -2.18863,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -61.992369,
        "energy": 69.229233,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.95,
        "volume": 420887040,
        "typical_volume": 328509062.7,
        "trend": 3.020037,
        "fair_value": 2.848933,
        "relative_strength": -0.393176,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.715848,
        "energy": 37.148789,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.882667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.84,
        "volume": 421082464,
        "typical_volume": 324823532.25,
        "trend": 3.016023,
        "fair_value": 2.850363,
        "relative_strength": -6.414288,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.016498,
        "energy": 30.712531,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}