{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d69c248-d7cc-4447-bc92-29b16663e1a5", "symbol": "001268", "name": "Guangdong Yangshan United Precision Manufacturing Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.153, "architecture_energy": 76.27, "architecture_maturity": 20.265, "architecture_confidence": 82.531, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.38, "rotation_up": 8.08, "upward_expansion": 16.95, "deceleration": 37.17, "rotation_down": 75.89, "downward_expansion": 90.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.021334, 22.000364, 24.449033, 24.48886 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.549999, "trend_reference": 24.539154, "distance_from_trend": -0.203314, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.651755, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.107539, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.983846, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.24678, "excess_performance": -0.254179, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.203314, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002816, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price 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"Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.056514, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.131636, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.06727, "worst_return": -0.180298, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.091973, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.033141, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.338939, "worst_return": -0.154993, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.257363, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.233536, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.257363, "worst_return": -0.257363, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"typical_volume": 17545254.55, "trend": 25.533237, "fair_value": 17.504159, "relative_strength": -0.005789, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.955682, "energy": 26.203269, "activity_lines": [ 28.350001, 28.613974, 27.018075, 26.189406 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 25.6, "volume": 23029296, "typical_volume": 17953294.45, "trend": 25.552497, "fair_value": 17.572035, "relative_strength": -4.710614, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.746312, "energy": 14.840903, "activity_lines": [ 27.432392, 28.058583, 27.023862, 26.193714 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 19.440001, "volume": 20592654, "typical_volume": 18415524.05, "trend": 25.363126, "fair_value": 17.595131, "relative_strength": -20.245483, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.931694, "energy": 26.956311, "activity_lines": [ 24.592571, 26.41137, 26.430603, 25.799359 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.110001, "volume": 17763090, "typical_volume": 18837028.05, "trend": 25.074994, "fair_value": 17.611801, "relative_strength": -25.677742, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.100281, "energy": 45.846554, "activity_lines": [ 21.936496, 24.677939, 25.731269, 25.331416 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.190001, "volume": 16755540, "typical_volume": 19255883.25, "trend": 24.724623, "fair_value": 17.623011, "relative_strength": -28.054812, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.824424, "energy": 65.944155, "activity_lines": [ 19.717305, 23.005211, 24.966359, 24.822706 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.549999, "volume": 15289504, "typical_volume": 19344161.2, "trend": 24.539154, "fair_value": 17.651755, "relative_strength": -21.983846, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.153222, "energy": 76.269842, "activity_lines": [ 19.021334, 22.000364, 24.449033, 24.48886 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }