{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4d701a6a-ee7b-426f-98f2-1b464fbe599d",
    "symbol": "FCID",
    "name": "Fidelity International High Dividend ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.636,
    "architecture_energy": 94.743,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.495,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.159,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.77,
        "rotation_up": 87.87,
        "upward_expansion": 99.97,
        "deceleration": 39.01,
        "rotation_down": 8.43,
        "downward_expansion": 21.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        37.783306,
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        36.506641,
        36.070013
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 38.439999,
    "trend_reference": 35.55336,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.081192,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.990163,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.37334,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.899027,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.093782,
    "excess_performance": -0.02664,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081192,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041248,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.37334,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049002,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00899,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026913,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093782,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.405462,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13800,
      "relative_activity": 0.369924,
      "balance": 4.405462,
      "dry_up": 0.653398,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018307,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.156756,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002336,
      "from_low_reference": 0.277203
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.55336,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.990163,
      "structural_low": 32.969609,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 48,
        "median_return": 0.010585,
        "positive_rate": 0.645833,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.645833,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004339,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.09867,
        "worst_return": -0.096683,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013514,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.056052,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003969,
        "regime_survival": 0.555556,
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        "worst_return": -0.142707,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.141925,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.063312,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2023-11-03",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "fair_value": 26.519696,
        "relative_strength": -2.800364,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 76235.0,
        "trend": 34.144939,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -2.533097,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 73110.0,
        "trend": 34.388265,
        "fair_value": 27.18013,
        "relative_strength": -1.079694,
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      },
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        "direction": 54.067354,
        "energy": 37.244021,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 2900,
        "typical_volume": 60965.0,
        "trend": 34.794841,
        "fair_value": 27.478358,
        "relative_strength": -1.554779,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.872406,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 36.418491,
        "volume": 50200,
        "typical_volume": 59870.0,
        "trend": 34.930865,
        "fair_value": 27.575221,
        "relative_strength": -1.629145,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.298003,
        "energy": 52.875903,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.21101,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.637756,
        "volume": 32300,
        "typical_volume": 52150.0,
        "trend": 35.068316,
        "fair_value": 27.672747,
        "relative_strength": -0.883093,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.602995,
        "energy": 57.725359,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.366435,
          36.158996,
          35.814099,
          35.533856
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 37.405197,
        "volume": 29100,
        "typical_volume": 47475.0,
        "trend": 35.229389,
        "fair_value": 27.772622,
        "relative_strength": 0.942392,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.97666,
        "energy": 80.410993,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.759352,
          36.41701,
          36.007324,
          35.684622
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.16,
        "volume": 22300,
        "typical_volume": 39220.0,
        "trend": 35.397046,
        "fair_value": 27.880495,
        "relative_strength": 3.384922,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.112338,
        "energy": 89.165729,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.305969,
          36.775831,
          36.254834,
          35.873694
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 38.439999,
        "volume": 13800,
        "typical_volume": 37305.0,
        "trend": 35.55336,
        "fair_value": 27.990163,
        "relative_strength": 0.899027,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.636184,
        "energy": 94.742818,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.783306,
          37.143282,
          36.506641,
          36.070013
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}