{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d746915-03fc-474a-a47a-7a8af6339bca", "symbol": "3680", "name": "Gudeng Precision Industrial Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -17.041, "architecture_energy": 29.853, "architecture_maturity": 3.01, "architecture_confidence": 65.22, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.95, "rotation_up": 15.88, "upward_expansion": 18.87, "deceleration": 55.35, "rotation_down": 57.82, "downward_expansion": 46.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 443.533333, 462.963636, 486.33378, 475.395002 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 463.5, "trend_reference": 457.719142, "distance_from_trend": 0.01263, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 408.003742, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.136019, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.463456, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.189481, "excess_performance": -0.251891, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01263, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111639, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.136019, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.284874, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.154635, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.209163, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.189481, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.376327, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4577042, "relative_activity": 0.375005, "balance": 0.376327, "dry_up": 0.538907, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162573, "annualized_volatility": 0.529454, "from_high_reference": -0.249653, "from_low_reference": 0.697032 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 457.719142, "fair_value_reference": 408.003742, "structural_low": 353.971073, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.018912, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.023581, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.172811, "worst_return": -0.141988, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.154637, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.108374, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.354163, "worst_return": -0.044888, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.376171, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.364063, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.576349, "worst_return": 0.175994, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"close": 399.0, "volume": 7668158, "typical_volume": 12322958.6, "trend": 453.398829, "fair_value": 406.368356, "relative_strength": -23.245204, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.954287, "energy": 26.17311, "activity_lines": [ 450.633333, 477.118182, 492.092116, 475.856458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 438.5, "volume": 4541783, "typical_volume": 12338078.5, "trend": 455.753754, "fair_value": 407.056377, "relative_strength": -17.377452, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.00751, "energy": 27.379954, "activity_lines": [ 439.566667, 466.845455, 488.141105, 474.895244 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 463.5, "volume": 4577042, "typical_volume": 12205281.5, "trend": 457.719142, "fair_value": 408.003742, "relative_strength": -15.463456, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.040778, "energy": 29.852878, "activity_lines": [ 443.533333, 462.963636, 486.33378, 475.395002 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }