{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d78a36e-9278-488e-b98f-907b96fe8dbd", "symbol": "RRTL", "name": "RTL Group S.A.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 60.043, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.871, "architecture_energy": 44.258, "architecture_maturity": 10.89, "architecture_confidence": 84.57, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.77, "rotation_up": 57.53, "upward_expansion": 81.5, "deceleration": 48.11, "rotation_down": 16.44, "downward_expansion": 10.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.31, 32.079091, 31.918917, 31.780861 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 32.75, "trend_reference": 31.608255, "distance_from_trend": 0.036122, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.629715, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229829, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.336932, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.036791, "excess_performance": -0.027849, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.036122, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033467, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.229829, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015927, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.013369, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08786, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.036791, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.94151, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 325817, "relative_activity": 0.65681, "balance": 1.94151, "dry_up": 0.616296, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040752, "annualized_volatility": 0.23638, "from_high_reference": -0.019461, "from_low_reference": 0.227866 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.608255, "fair_value_reference": 26.629715, "structural_low": 28.638524, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.470001, "energy": 9.232356, "activity_lines": [ 31.666667, 31.633637, 31.671659, 31.559779 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.65, "volume": 326702, "typical_volume": 565113.8, "trend": 31.349398, "fair_value": 26.532615, "relative_strength": 1.166779, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.982373, "energy": 7.909084, "activity_lines": [ 31.61, 31.647273, 31.680187, 31.584454 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 32.200001, "volume": 240267, "typical_volume": 551539.7, "trend": 31.45814, "fair_value": 26.558304, "relative_strength": 1.754833, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.70899, "energy": 18.738585, "activity_lines": [ 31.790001, 31.78, 31.741614, 31.639331 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.45, "volume": 330093, "typical_volume": 519821.7, "trend": 31.548145, "fair_value": 26.586154, "relative_strength": 0.401222, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.87085, "energy": 23.25154, "activity_lines": [ 32.023334, 31.915455, 31.817625, 31.703322 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.75, "volume": 325817, "typical_volume": 496059.6, "trend": 31.608255, "fair_value": 26.629715, "relative_strength": -1.336932, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.870561, "energy": 44.258391, "activity_lines": [ 32.31, 32.079091, 31.918917, 31.780861 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }