{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d7bb554-8136-4c45-9c00-6e661ab77003", "symbol": "BOR", "name": "Borders & Southern Petroleum plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 55.094, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.135, "architecture_energy": 15.397, "architecture_maturity": 66.241, "architecture_confidence": 77.014, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.77, "rotation_up": 20.3, "upward_expansion": 53.37, "deceleration": 90.54, "rotation_down": 36.58, "downward_expansion": 21.7 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.115067, 0.119809, 0.117844, 0.113314 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.1085, "trend_reference": 0.10675, "distance_from_trend": 0.016393, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.057599, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.883704, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.059458, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.212291, "excess_performance": 0.161055, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016393, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071967, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.883704, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.312447, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.050595, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152493, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.212291, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.901074, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2568141, "relative_activity": 0.585557, "balance": 0.901074, "dry_up": 0.746798, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160276, "annualized_volatility": 0.460348, "from_high_reference": -0.225, "from_low_reference": 0.427632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.10675, "fair_value_reference": 0.057599, "structural_low": 0.085, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.002739, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018323, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.551813, "worst_return": -0.257732, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.004, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.003217, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 4.818464, "worst_return": -0.626804, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.067708, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.19506, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 2.65732, "worst_return": -0.326804, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.122033, 0.118916, 0.111413, 0.106883 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.1365, "volume": 806906, "typical_volume": 4923886.05, "trend": 0.103533, "fair_value": 0.054561, "relative_strength": 24.072956, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.416376, "energy": 62.327759, "activity_lines": [ 0.127233, 0.122809, 0.114301, 0.109067 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.127, "volume": 4307661, "typical_volume": 4904440.35, "trend": 0.104433, "fair_value": 0.055226, "relative_strength": 16.507474, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.692638, "energy": 41.696134, "activity_lines": [ 0.1279, 0.124282, 0.116078, 0.110581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.121, "volume": 2746605, "typical_volume": 4858326.65, "trend": 0.105067, "fair_value": 0.055855, "relative_strength": 9.189518, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.477762, "energy": 36.908041, "activity_lines": [ 0.125767, 0.124245, 0.11714, 0.11165 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1235, "volume": 2252940, "typical_volume": 4507534.6, "trend": 0.105817, "fair_value": 0.056491, "relative_strength": 9.375957, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.846916, "energy": 34.130761, "activity_lines": [ 0.125067, 0.124445, 0.11833, 0.112839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.111, "volume": 5533585, "typical_volume": 4553440.7, "trend": 0.106333, "fair_value": 0.057052, "relative_strength": -2.821348, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.577003, "energy": 15.284049, "activity_lines": [ 0.120167, 0.122327, 0.118237, 0.113174 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1085, "volume": 2568141, "typical_volume": 4385812.05, "trend": 0.10675, "fair_value": 0.057599, "relative_strength": -5.059458, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.134881, "energy": 15.39702, "activity_lines": [ 0.115067, 0.119809, 0.117844, 0.113314 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }