{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4d7caefa-9954-453a-8401-8c247b08d07b",
    "symbol": "FPE",
    "name": "Fuchs SE",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.276,
    "architecture_energy": 79.2,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.678,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.192,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.33,
        "rotation_up": 74.49,
        "upward_expansion": 92.57,
        "deceleration": 45.95,
        "rotation_down": 15.04,
        "downward_expansion": 16.9
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.406666,
        33.829999,
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        31.95496
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 35.049999,
    "trend_reference": 30.922549,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.133477,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.382888,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.15361,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.873682,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.20608,
    "excess_performance": 0.141441,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133477,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049579,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15361,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.123203,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068737,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064052,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20608,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.964118,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 158733,
      "relative_activity": 1.140356,
      "balance": 0.964118,
      "dry_up": 1.159336,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033359,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.17692,
      "from_high_reference": -0.023677,
      "from_low_reference": 0.336647
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 30.922549,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.382888,
      "structural_low": 26.222335,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.00865,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005878,
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        "best_return": 0.104704,
        "worst_return": -0.137741,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "regime_survival": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.115714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.020728,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.041429,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": -0.100607,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "stage": 1,
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      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 230916.75,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 30.003373,
        "relative_strength": 4.033275,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 184023.95,
        "trend": 30.038137,
        "fair_value": 30.156988,
        "relative_strength": 3.795998,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 178466.4,
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        "relative_strength": 6.460735,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.561447,
        "energy": 76.512667,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.006666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.049999,
        "volume": 118332,
        "typical_volume": 168312.55,
        "trend": 30.332996,
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        "relative_strength": 7.222022,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.461417,
        "energy": 67.523883,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.053333,
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          31.87343,
          31.147626
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.549999,
        "volume": 167744,
        "typical_volume": 158350.25,
        "trend": 30.533602,
        "fair_value": 30.283002,
        "relative_strength": 10.752155,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.598876,
        "energy": 72.08161,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.576666,
          33.173636,
          32.221814,
          31.41969
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.5,
        "volume": 200691,
        "typical_volume": 151212.2,
        "trend": 30.719711,
        "fair_value": 30.330317,
        "relative_strength": 8.171858,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.521651,
        "energy": 77.041595,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.953333,
          33.481818,
          32.536549,
          31.675587
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.049999,
        "volume": 158733,
        "typical_volume": 139196.05,
        "trend": 30.922549,
        "fair_value": 30.382888,
        "relative_strength": 6.873682,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.275688,
        "energy": 79.199755,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.406666,
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          31.95496
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}