{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4d7f96b3-3b6f-4995-ba8d-f7e4702d3087",
    "symbol": "BGN",
    "name": "Banca Generali S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.489,
    "architecture_energy": 68.583,
    "architecture_maturity": 69.648,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.551,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.26,
        "rotation_up": 58.7,
        "upward_expansion": 85.33,
        "deceleration": 67.01,
        "rotation_down": 27.73,
        "downward_expansion": 12.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        65.8,
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 67.0,
    "trend_reference": 56.361014,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.188765,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.289667,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.584311,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.087772,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.212822,
    "excess_performance": 0.038575,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188765,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071865,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.584311,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.190056,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030878,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094699,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212822,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.273481,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.273481,
      "dry_up": 2.849315,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035423,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.263875,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008876,
      "from_low_reference": 0.535837
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 56.361014,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.289667,
      "structural_low": 46.77528,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.008153,
        "positive_rate": 0.526316,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00307,
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        "best_return": 0.25606,
        "worst_return": -0.112806,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.104526,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.243654,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.147019,
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.366799,
        "energy": 32.841215,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.937006,
          51.593853,
          51.854177,
          51.987855
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 54.888378,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8.65,
        "trend": 51.630235,
        "fair_value": 39.367514,
        "relative_strength": -6.382082,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.719293,
        "energy": 42.234391,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.795738,
          52.303443,
          52.075157,
          52.217256
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 54.599998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 8.65,
        "trend": 51.976453,
        "fair_value": 39.555379,
        "relative_strength": -6.0928,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.506223,
        "energy": 56.00358,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.196266,
          52.926519,
          52.267421,
          52.408854
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 55.25,
        "volume": 198,
        "typical_volume": 18.55,
        "trend": 52.302538,
        "fair_value": 39.748394,
        "relative_strength": -6.562882,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.423296,
        "energy": 57.954904,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.601982,
          53.567281,
          52.522616,
          52.62005
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 54.75,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.55,
        "trend": 52.582189,
        "fair_value": 39.937329,
        "relative_strength": -9.543214,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.792964,
        "energy": 51.631438,
        "activity_lines": [
          54.775269,
          54.00045,
          52.730159,
          52.777951
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 55.75,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.55,
        "trend": 52.81284,
        "fair_value": 40.128032,
        "relative_strength": -6.537685,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.899568,
        "energy": 59.155567,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.172558,
          54.506097,
          53.035967,
          52.982326
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 60.349998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.55,
        "trend": 53.165156,
        "fair_value": 40.34396,
        "relative_strength": -1.416497,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.743421,
        "energy": 80.361646,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.939999,
          55.718837,
          53.777681,
          53.468594
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 65.75,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.55,
        "trend": 53.678473,
        "fair_value": 40.598274,
        "relative_strength": 3.047089,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 95.018429,
        "energy": 94.786558,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.143333,
          57.715345,
          54.999637,
          54.280519
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 64.800003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.55,
        "trend": 54.093622,
        "fair_value": 40.841909,
        "relative_strength": 3.493156,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.62871,
        "energy": 94.947412,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.286667,
          59.278723,
          56.075203,
          54.998037
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 66.400002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.55,
        "trend": 54.573188,
        "fair_value": 41.099405,
        "relative_strength": 3.453754,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.896512,
        "energy": 94.841468,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.326668,
          60.941438,
          57.25764,
          55.791997
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 65.099998,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 23.55,
        "trend": 54.96667,
        "fair_value": 41.342068,
        "relative_strength": 2.682236,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.49197,
        "energy": 88.700653,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.156667,
          62.126152,
          58.242781,
          56.471146
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 63.849998,
        "volume": 624,
        "typical_volume": 54.75,
        "trend": 55.274152,
        "fair_value": 41.572348,
        "relative_strength": 2.611421,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.900204,
        "energy": 87.249976,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.946666,
          62.869091,
          59.049949,
          57.044264
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 65.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 54.75,
        "trend": 55.613634,
        "fair_value": 41.803061,
        "relative_strength": 2.960219,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.53077,
        "energy": 73.543879,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.886666,
          63.658182,
          59.915041,
          57.671738
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 66.050003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 54.75,
        "trend": 55.973866,
        "fair_value": 42.038758,
        "relative_strength": 4.625246,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.159692,
        "energy": 66.896951,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.226667,
          64.449091,
          60.804288,
          58.345053
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 67.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 54.75,
        "trend": 56.361014,
        "fair_value": 42.289667,
        "relative_strength": 3.087772,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.489119,
        "energy": 68.582833,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.8,
          65.216364,
          61.702023,
          59.056416
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}