{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d858e99-cfd0-4f0c-8826-f5cda50274ae", "symbol": "TIGRN", "name": "UP Fintech Holding Limited", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.936, "architecture_energy": 48.123, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.624, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.99, "rotation_up": 27.9, "upward_expansion": 21.24, "deceleration": 46.9, "rotation_down": 37.02, "downward_expansion": 66.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 83.077332, 82.190363, 87.640666, 96.479591 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 83.089996, "trend_reference": 110.301999, "distance_from_trend": -0.246705, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 124.211438, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.33106, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.958238, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.4065, "excess_performance": -0.351833, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.246705, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21315, "read": "Falling" 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76.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.079626, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.076163, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.071642, "worst_return": -0.235377, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.293281, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.305326, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.27027, "worst_return": -0.316292, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.501078, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.525297, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.501078, "worst_return": -0.501078, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -50.500441, "energy": 52.104372, "activity_lines": [ 82.666, 82.022545, 88.983476, 98.428559 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 83.089996, "volume": 14613, "typical_volume": 9886.75, "trend": 110.301999, "fair_value": 124.211438, "relative_strength": -43.958238, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.936124, "energy": 48.122775, "activity_lines": [ 83.077332, 82.190363, 87.640666, 96.479591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }