{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4d86ce46-e3b9-44d5-a70e-b32183eaad11", "symbol": "HINDCOPPER", "name": "Hindustan Copper Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.554, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -30.441, "architecture_energy": 22.31, "architecture_maturity": 23.102, "architecture_confidence": 46.588, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.79, "rotation_up": 24.01, "upward_expansion": 16.3, "deceleration": 59.87, "rotation_down": 41.34, "downward_expansion": 66.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 504.486658, 501.580903, 514.469043, 521.351348 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 536.099976, "trend_reference": 535.09724, "distance_from_trend": 0.001874, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 322.435896, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.662656, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 18.65895, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.073968, "excess_performance": -0.030259, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001874, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070053, "read": "Rising" 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445.700012, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.026491, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.45, "median_excess_return": 0.008098, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.155297, "worst_return": -0.11444, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.017551, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.051668, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.48071, "worst_return": -0.188109, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.245882, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.083195, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.657895, "worst_return": -0.274673, "sufficient": true }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 494.459998, 505.143634, 519.205473, 527.535015 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 483.149994, "volume": 15149314, "typical_volume": 26725049.85, "trend": 536.207204, "fair_value": 317.823104, "relative_strength": 13.236737, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.471399, "energy": 63.447307, "activity_lines": [ 489.739996, 498.850906, 515.430473, 524.129843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 491.600006, "volume": 16322519, "typical_volume": 25759351.3, "trend": 534.559451, "fair_value": 320.002491, "relative_strength": 11.047201, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.168055, "energy": 52.386254, "activity_lines": [ 489.703333, 495.67818, 512.819521, 521.25196 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 536.099976, "volume": 59174682, "typical_volume": 25261537.75, "trend": 535.09724, "fair_value": 322.435896, "relative_strength": 18.65895, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.440975, "energy": 22.310011, "activity_lines": [ 504.486658, 501.580903, 514.469043, 521.351348 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }