{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4d9092fb-a298-42a4-be86-397d3da566c2",
    "symbol": "AEM",
    "name": "Agnico Eagle Mines Limited",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 79.758,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -41.823,
    "architecture_energy": 41.554,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.374,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.752,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.12,
        "rotation_up": 27.6,
        "upward_expansion": 15.83,
        "deceleration": 63.31,
        "rotation_down": 47.31,
        "downward_expansion": 74.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        217.810665,
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        242.969471
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 249.369995,
    "trend_reference": 258.682808,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.036001,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 151.812401,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.642619,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.388888,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.071103,
    "excess_performance": -0.191524,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036001,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.023704,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.642619,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.269295,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093889,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.13078,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.071103,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.767183,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7243500,
      "relative_activity": 2.020006,
      "balance": 0.767183,
      "dry_up": 1.438922,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.075307,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.584284,
      "from_high_reference": -0.28535,
      "from_low_reference": 0.392935
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 258.682808,
      "fair_value_reference": 151.812401,
      "structural_low": 188.479996,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.002848,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.011364,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
        "best_return": 0.178628,
        "worst_return": -0.146925,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.015954,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00356,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.088086,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.055169,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.051249,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.29039,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2023-06-23",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 4399500,
        "typical_volume": 3624110.0,
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        "fair_value": 149.70471,
        "relative_strength": -23.527497,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 203.520004,
        "volume": 4760700,
        "typical_volume": 3614225.0,
        "trend": 259.217593,
        "fair_value": 150.614637,
        "relative_strength": -23.589751,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.143213,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 249.369995,
        "volume": 7243500,
        "typical_volume": 3585880.0,
        "trend": 258.682808,
        "fair_value": 151.812401,
        "relative_strength": -9.388888,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -41.822702,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}