{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4d983e5b-aaf6-46e0-81e9-40c1d04a8c92",
    "symbol": "XYL",
    "name": "Xylem Inc.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 14.577,
    "architecture_energy": 43.597,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.498,
    "architecture_confidence": 48.672,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.98,
        "rotation_up": 55.78,
        "upward_expansion": 33.05,
        "deceleration": 41.33,
        "rotation_down": 12.0,
        "downward_expansion": 53.38
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2150.033333,
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        2076.252172,
        2129.528208
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 2229.5,
    "trend_reference": 2215.70782,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.006225,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2295.700033,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.028837,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.142564,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.09715,
    "excess_performance": -0.042483,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006225,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073594,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028837,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019178,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081426,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.110128,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09715,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.823529,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.823529,
      "dry_up": 2.258065,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.023166,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.289054,
      "from_high_reference": -0.14508,
      "from_low_reference": 0.167277
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2215.70782,
      "fair_value_reference": 2295.700033,
      "structural_low": 1910.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018016,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.000178,
        "worst_return": 0.0,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.000153,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.062086,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.000178,
        "worst_return": 0.000149,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.04662,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.110167,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.182425,
        "worst_return": 0.000307,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.116026,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.077582,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.293563,
        "worst_return": -0.061511,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000151,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000151,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000151,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.000153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.000153,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.207733,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1.1,
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        "fair_value": 2290.375191,
        "relative_strength": -15.865907,
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        "direction": -50.875897,
        "energy": 55.646211,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2229.5,
        "volume": 9,
        "typical_volume": 1.55,
        "trend": 2223.704565,
        "fair_value": 2292.618746,
        "relative_strength": -8.701755,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.311531,
        "energy": 34.322127,
        "activity_lines": [
          2086.3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2229.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1.55,
        "trend": 2215.70782,
        "fair_value": 2295.700033,
        "relative_strength": -8.142564,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 14.576855,
        "energy": 43.596551,
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          2150.033333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}