{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4da3148b-48a2-45ce-a79c-9270311b8e4a", "symbol": "MLFTI", "name": "France Tourisme Immobilier SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 97.189, "architecture_energy": 98.34, "architecture_maturity": 78.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.198, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 90.5, "upward_expansion": 99.99, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.31, "downward_expansion": 21.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1354, 0.121945, 0.107186, 0.096603 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.16, "trend_reference": 0.082317, "distance_from_trend": 0.943713, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.043221, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.701891, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 133.759616, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 2.333333, "excess_performance": 2.280022, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.943713, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.374617, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.701891, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.786475, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.337596, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.741473, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.333333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.833556, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8428, "relative_activity": 0.642719, "balance": 7.833556, "dry_up": 0.89369, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080529, "annualized_volatility": 1.033221, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 4.333333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.082317, "fair_value_reference": 0.043221, "structural_low": 0.0335, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.04, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": 0.007478, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.442308, "worst_return": -0.282828, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.094771, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.069006, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.622222, "worst_return": -0.239583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.265445, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.172428, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.267606, "worst_return": -0.313725, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"direction": 72.6487, "energy": 52.126422, "activity_lines": [ 0.102733, 0.097618, 0.089843, 0.081645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.12, "volume": 7617, "typical_volume": 15240.95, "trend": 0.073217, "fair_value": 0.04134, "relative_strength": 100.953356, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.107302, "energy": 78.035538, "activity_lines": [ 0.1088, 0.102691, 0.093467, 0.084825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.12, "volume": 25787, "typical_volume": 15610.45, "trend": 0.0757, "fair_value": 0.041894, "relative_strength": 94.659161, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.730209, "energy": 87.620367, "activity_lines": [ 0.114533, 0.106891, 0.096767, 0.087843 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.13, "volume": 5044, "typical_volume": 14055.3, "trend": 0.078517, "fair_value": 0.042452, "relative_strength": 101.664032, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.552904, "energy": 92.646733, "activity_lines": [ 0.1214, 0.112055, 0.100712, 0.091346 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.16, "volume": 8428, "typical_volume": 13113.05, "trend": 0.082317, "fair_value": 0.043221, "relative_strength": 133.759616, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 97.188542, "energy": 98.339848, "activity_lines": [ 0.1354, 0.121945, 0.107186, 0.096603 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }