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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.489, "architecture_energy": 57.226, "architecture_maturity": 33.317, "architecture_confidence": 69.154, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.49, "rotation_up": 68.78, "upward_expansion": 84.16, "deceleration": 54.57, "rotation_down": 16.19, "downward_expansion": 8.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 74.427333, 73.339251, 71.210274, 69.825088 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 75.18, "trend_reference": 67.908329, "distance_from_trend": 0.107081, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.572609, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.283535, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.652419, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.139562, "excess_performance": -0.034684, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.107081, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064136, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.283535, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117329, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036524, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04279, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.139562, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.67222, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2620, "relative_activity": 1.574567, "balance": 1.67222, "dry_up": 1.680639, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039308, "annualized_volatility": 0.203195, "from_high_reference": -0.052433, "from_low_reference": 0.366479 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 67.908329, "fair_value_reference": 58.572609, "structural_low": 62.381401, "invalidation": 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73.120003, "volume": 5740, "typical_volume": 1479.0, "trend": 65.926537, "fair_value": 57.985122, "relative_strength": -4.717783, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.33147, "energy": 69.792616, "activity_lines": [ 72.113335, 70.854471, 69.036928, 67.894227 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 72.669998, "volume": 1957, "typical_volume": 1464.05, "trend": 66.354808, "fair_value": 58.122506, "relative_strength": -3.249896, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.429663, "energy": 71.793869, "activity_lines": [ 72.428, 71.363441, 69.485025, 68.329289 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 72.110001, "volume": 1562, "typical_volume": 1387.75, "trend": 66.79186, "fair_value": 58.252028, "relative_strength": -5.141527, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.945131, "energy": 61.878694, "activity_lines": [ 72.511334, 71.655351, 69.859283, 68.700592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 76.43, "volume": 5047, "typical_volume": 1594.2, "trend": 67.388454, "fair_value": 58.4165, "relative_strength": 0.710676, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.576945, "energy": 65.622472, "activity_lines": [ 73.836667, 72.674764, 70.614278, 69.322407 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.18, "volume": 2620, "typical_volume": 1663.95, "trend": 67.908329, "fair_value": 58.572609, "relative_strength": -3.652419, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.489055, "energy": 57.226384, "activity_lines": [ 74.427333, 73.339251, 71.210274, 69.825088 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }