{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4dc6152b-88ba-4f11-b19d-b057cb7deef9", "symbol": "IGIC", "name": "International General Insurance Holdings Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.162, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.442, "architecture_energy": 45.479, "architecture_maturity": 21.665, "architecture_confidence": 72.779, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.17, "rotation_up": 59.02, "upward_expansion": 79.24, "deceleration": 60.21, "rotation_down": 17.77, "downward_expansion": 5.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.816667, 27.497091, 26.658979, 26.017377 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 27.06, "trend_reference": 25.191176, "distance_from_trend": 0.074186, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.926599, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.429734, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.221981, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.115298, "excess_performance": -0.072155, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.074186, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059127, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.429734, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022455, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.01222, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074248, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115298, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.740246, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 840118, "relative_activity": 2.367293, "balance": 0.740246, "dry_up": 1.501718, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.061372, "annualized_volatility": 0.246985, "from_high_reference": -0.085347, "from_low_reference": 0.374077 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.191176, "fair_value_reference": 18.926599, "structural_low": 22.067556, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.004808, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.005051, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.291384, "worst_return": -0.077522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.092539, "positive_rate": 0.909091, "directional_follow_through": 0.909091, "median_excess_return": 0.02096, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.493407, "worst_return": -0.076133, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.17042, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.000418, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.632287, "worst_return": -0.041412, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-24", "close": 28.78, "volume": 422730, "typical_volume": 333214.25, "trend": 24.890102, "fair_value": 18.682543, "relative_strength": 10.951656, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.041549, "energy": 79.590489, "activity_lines": [ 28.147333, 27.170598, 26.324076, 25.691557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.91, "volume": 400223, "typical_volume": 333730.05, "trend": 25.02969, "fair_value": 18.806767, "relative_strength": 6.970922, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.563664, "energy": 68.753994, "activity_lines": [ 28.158667, 27.435455, 26.545292, 25.886389 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.06, "volume": 840118, "typical_volume": 354885.5, "trend": 25.191176, "fair_value": 18.926599, "relative_strength": -1.221981, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.441646, "energy": 45.478596, "activity_lines": [ 27.816667, 27.497091, 26.658979, 26.017377 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }