{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4dd7bbfc-302e-46cc-b432-4daa27f92f24",
    "symbol": "TRYP",
    "name": "HANetf ICAV - US Global Investors Travel UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 83.896,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.321,
    "architecture_energy": 44.361,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.049,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.054,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.82,
        "rotation_up": 46.55,
        "upward_expansion": 72.61,
        "deceleration": 68.42,
        "rotation_down": 25.86,
        "downward_expansion": 10.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        10.505664,
        10.32999
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 11.17,
    "trend_reference": 10.2182,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.093148,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 8.435137,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.324223,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.074683,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.037237,
    "excess_performance": -0.013999,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093148,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020901,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.324223,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103476,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020747,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060678,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037237,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.255771,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7202,
      "relative_activity": 0.208834,
      "balance": 0.255771,
      "dry_up": 0.508413,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03905,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.264941,
      "from_high_reference": -0.009927,
      "from_low_reference": 0.223841
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10.2182,
      "fair_value_reference": 8.435137,
      "structural_low": 9.127,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.006483,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024148,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
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        "worst_return": -0.157036,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.121078,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.082907,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -6.873901,
        "energy": 11.123853,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.8405,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 9.9115,
        "volume": 92965,
        "typical_volume": 41829.65,
        "trend": 9.990927,
        "fair_value": 8.11921,
        "relative_strength": -3.993108,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -3.608494,
        "energy": 9.081354,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.8712,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 55841,
        "typical_volume": 44572.9,
        "trend": 9.98676,
        "fair_value": 8.139996,
        "relative_strength": -8.298288,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.32217,
        "energy": 29.731949,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.709967,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 9.657,
        "volume": 2177,
        "typical_volume": 44648.85,
        "trend": 9.982767,
        "fair_value": 8.162976,
        "relative_strength": -8.318828,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.889618,
        "energy": 26.404611,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 10.287,
        "volume": 33114,
        "typical_volume": 45803.1,
        "trend": 10.009,
        "fair_value": 8.188467,
        "relative_strength": -1.798984,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.094901,
        "energy": 8.729647,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 10.108,
        "volume": 2835,
        "typical_volume": 42275.85,
        "trend": 10.034267,
        "fair_value": 8.211649,
        "relative_strength": -3.058423,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.362128,
        "energy": 7.180786,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.9605,
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          9.851702,
          9.96337
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 10.384,
        "volume": 4895,
        "typical_volume": 35856.7,
        "trend": 10.063667,
        "fair_value": 8.234983,
        "relative_strength": -1.439596,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 22.419038,
        "energy": 22.762046,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.1297,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 35469.1,
        "trend": 10.11075,
        "fair_value": 8.261531,
        "relative_strength": 2.458619,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.871933,
        "energy": 45.185545,
        "activity_lines": [
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          9.962926,
          10.026729
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 11.133,
        "volume": 620,
        "typical_volume": 34032.1,
        "trend": 10.1548,
        "fair_value": 8.288816,
        "relative_strength": 5.095043,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.44796,
        "energy": 63.384135,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.6736,
          10.326227,
          10.07305,
          10.092681
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 11.06,
        "volume": 1,
        "typical_volume": 33947.4,
        "trend": 10.191967,
        "fair_value": 8.315201,
        "relative_strength": 2.756945,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 49.34288,
        "energy": 70.957131,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.853067,
          10.500809,
          10.174488,
          10.151081
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 10.833,
        "volume": 221608,
        "typical_volume": 44908.35,
        "trend": 10.2094,
        "fair_value": 8.339755,
        "relative_strength": 2.451376,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.412261,
        "energy": 67.486286,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.905333,
          10.609409,
          10.25205,
          10.192438
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 10.531,
        "volume": 25685,
        "typical_volume": 44149.05,
        "trend": 10.205567,
        "fair_value": 8.361691,
        "relative_strength": -1.241994,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.899689,
        "energy": 70.36571,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.8086,
          10.642536,
          10.299598,
          10.213186
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 10.478,
        "volume": 5781,
        "typical_volume": 35043.85,
        "trend": 10.199867,
        "fair_value": 8.382899,
        "relative_strength": -2.844125,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.424302,
        "energy": 41.800062,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.6844,
          10.654764,
          10.342131,
          10.230762
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 10.775,
        "volume": 31466,
        "typical_volume": 35746.75,
        "trend": 10.2071,
        "fair_value": 8.407643,
        "relative_strength": -1.275142,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.02976,
        "energy": 32.346553,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.673733,
          10.701727,
          10.408567,
          10.267868
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 11.17,
        "volume": 7202,
        "typical_volume": 34486.75,
        "trend": 10.2182,
        "fair_value": 8.435137,
        "relative_strength": 2.074683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.321059,
        "energy": 44.360918,
        "activity_lines": [
          10.8186,
          10.800182,
          10.505664,
          10.32999
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}