{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4ddb5846-1b4c-450b-8838-ccd01b832062", "symbol": "PRITIKAUTO", "name": "Pritika Auto Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 89.352, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.889, "architecture_energy": 47.564, "architecture_maturity": 50.464, "architecture_confidence": 80.216, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.54, "rotation_up": 55.9, "upward_expansion": 80.09, "deceleration": 66.32, "rotation_down": 21.29, "downward_expansion": 6.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.987333, 17.66, 16.376905, 15.457936 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 18.219999, "trend_reference": 14.491, "distance_from_trend": 0.257332, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.010897, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.172228, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 21.864068, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.306093, "excess_performance": 0.349802, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.257332, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070816, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.172228, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.160802, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.218641, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.234156, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.306093, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.471918, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 649984, "relative_activity": 0.806448, "balance": 1.471918, "dry_up": 0.947149, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112049, "annualized_volatility": 0.590623, "from_high_reference": -0.096678, "from_low_reference": 0.75024 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.491, "fair_value_reference": 22.010897, "structural_low": 10.41, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.043486, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.044694, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.511834, "worst_return": -0.32681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.067989, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.051348, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.01525, "worst_return": -0.36, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.378523, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.256813, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.943343, "worst_return": -0.186297, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-04-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.084936, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-04-19", "end": "2024-05-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.005505, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.021012, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.24026, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.225902, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.08894, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.008783, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.045307, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.367626, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.062391, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 21.25, "volume": 3338833, "typical_volume": 2404252.7, "trend": 16.93, "fair_value": 16.747642, "relative_strength": 18.358168, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", 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"activity_lines": [ 17.415333, 16.303273, 15.051857, 14.466301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.290001, "volume": 1593019, "typical_volume": 869331.3, "trend": 14.093, "fair_value": 22.040897, "relative_strength": 23.758255, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.648793, "energy": 74.573778, "activity_lines": [ 17.825334, 16.794909, 15.450667, 14.748172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.01, "volume": 497464, "typical_volume": 835266.9, "trend": 14.233, "fair_value": 22.052179, "relative_strength": 24.633358, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.325411, "energy": 59.005639, "activity_lines": [ 17.881334, 17.171273, 15.798619, 15.000882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.440001, "volume": 313081, "typical_volume": 808927.95, "trend": 14.342667, "fair_value": 22.046667, "relative_strength": 17.658837, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.541982, "energy": 50.323586, "activity_lines": [ 17.814001, 17.369273, 16.063667, 15.207785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.219999, "volume": 649984, "typical_volume": 805984.2, "trend": 14.491, "fair_value": 22.010897, "relative_strength": 21.864068, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.888913, "energy": 47.563649, "activity_lines": [ 17.987333, 17.66, 16.376905, 15.457936 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }