{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4ddf31ee-0be9-4a83-b4ee-369b1d504256",
    "symbol": "CURY3",
    "name": "Cury Construtora e Incorporadora S.A.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -51.932,
    "architecture_energy": 41.48,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.748,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.676,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.9,
        "rotation_up": 12.2,
        "upward_expansion": 6.68,
        "deceleration": 44.81,
        "rotation_down": 63.54,
        "downward_expansion": 75.35
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.717334,
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        31.796665,
        32.45725
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 31.360001,
    "trend_reference": 33.338606,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.059349,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 22.632714,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.385605,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.440383,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.171281,
    "excess_performance": -0.114233,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059349,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008067,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.385605,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081062,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064404,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086683,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.171281,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.759511,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 19793800,
      "relative_activity": 1.259467,
      "balance": 0.759511,
      "dry_up": 1.011599,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.087238,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.416501,
      "from_high_reference": -0.235975,
      "from_low_reference": 0.163911
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 33.338606,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.632714,
      "structural_low": 28.454886,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.106524,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.109361,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.164056,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.67938,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.58625,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.471459,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.865585,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.721646,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": 1.152984,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 18448305.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -13.121003,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 21.598348,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 33.396987,
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        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.690819,
        "energy": 11.668528,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 15138140.0,
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        "fair_value": 22.037553,
        "relative_strength": 2.15209,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.592113,
        "energy": 22.067056,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 16042815.0,
        "trend": 33.472957,
        "fair_value": 22.181952,
        "relative_strength": -1.97864,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.458975,
        "energy": 25.506375,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.316667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 30.67,
        "volume": 19416800,
        "typical_volume": 16297180.0,
        "trend": 33.454628,
        "fair_value": 22.298761,
        "relative_strength": -9.842805,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -23.79217,
        "energy": 19.382469,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.231333,
          32.743102,
          32.42764,
          33.06637
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 29.35,
        "volume": 11691700,
        "typical_volume": 16120100.0,
        "trend": 33.401681,
        "fair_value": 22.405788,
        "relative_strength": -13.689317,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.129362,
        "energy": 24.482561,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.802,
          32.241091,
          32.103546,
          32.801555
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.09,
        "volume": 12690900,
        "typical_volume": 15668130.0,
        "trend": 33.385046,
        "fair_value": 22.516429,
        "relative_strength": -13.215093,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.069052,
        "energy": 41.521117,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.880667,
          31.882727,
          31.877164,
          32.587898
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.360001,
        "volume": 19793800,
        "typical_volume": 15716010.0,
        "trend": 33.338606,
        "fair_value": 22.632714,
        "relative_strength": -6.440383,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.931676,
        "energy": 41.479599,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.717334,
          31.763273,
          31.796665,
          32.45725
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}