{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429", "symbol": "VLO", "name": "Valero Energy Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.319, "architecture_energy": 91.574, "architecture_maturity": 44.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.956, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 86.18, "upward_expansion": 100.0, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.03, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 5364.016341, 5071.273074, 4738.204865, 4537.752065 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 5424.299805, "trend_reference": 4223.780241, "distance_from_trend": 0.284229, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2940.148283, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.844907, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 43.408073, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.558164, "excess_performance": 0.612831, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.284229, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151411, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.844907, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.400318, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.434081, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.315846, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.558164, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.649452, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.649452, "dry_up": 0.315305, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042616, "annualized_volatility": 0.465661, "from_high_reference": -0.000829, "from_low_reference": 1.217572 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4223.780241, "fair_value_reference": 2940.148283, "structural_low": 3438.07373, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 5342.067871, "volume": 1174, "typical_volume": 2458.1, "trend": 3995.107601, "fair_value": 2877.803066, "relative_strength": 47.191772, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.386907, "energy": 91.639127, "activity_lines": [ 4830.404785, 4633.996946, 4448.530755, 4276.173519 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5428.798828, "volume": 119, "typical_volume": 2450.05, "trend": 4071.405045, "fair_value": 2899.017151, "relative_strength": 48.342848, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.384862, "energy": 95.584801, "activity_lines": [ 5090.290332, 4800.770623, 4551.647062, 4368.669728 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5423.099609, "volume": 1152, "typical_volume": 2018.85, "trend": 4155.218131, "fair_value": 2919.982427, "relative_strength": 45.273085, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.659592, "energy": 93.798657, "activity_lines": [ 5258.956217, 4946.422736, 4647.69729, 4455.875828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5424.299805, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1938.6, "trend": 4223.780241, "fair_value": 2940.148283, "relative_strength": 43.408073, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.3187, "energy": 91.573821, "activity_lines": [ 5364.016341, 5071.273074, 4738.204865, 4537.752065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }