{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4e04c732-a02b-4dfe-ba29-cb082df5c957",
    "symbol": "ANRJ",
    "name": "Amundi Global Hydrogen UCITS ETF - Acc",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 52.428,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -16.255,
    "architecture_energy": 29.514,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.038,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.037,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 49.84,
        "rotation_up": 15.94,
        "upward_expansion": 24.04,
        "deceleration": 54.99,
        "rotation_down": 53.89,
        "downward_expansion": 40.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        719.666671,
        725.598188,
        736.654289,
        732.313766
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 723.700012,
    "trend_reference": 721.36,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.003244,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 493.946178,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.465139,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 3.09415,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.064108,
    "excess_performance": 0.010797,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003244,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063712,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.465139,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.193846,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030942,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.243465,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064108,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.61857,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 915,
      "relative_activity": 0.59377,
      "balance": 0.61857,
      "dry_up": 0.531635,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0365,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.194322,
      "from_high_reference": -0.088769,
      "from_low_reference": 0.458632
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 721.36,
      "fair_value_reference": 493.946178,
      "structural_low": 661.599976,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.027921,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012495,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.125957,
        "worst_return": -0.045412,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.06541,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003122,
        "regime_survival": 0.111111,
        "best_return": 0.215854,
        "worst_return": -0.056342,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.087763,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.03832,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.447738,
        "worst_return": -0.028602,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.341298,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.306635,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.515371,
        "worst_return": 0.122234,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012287,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031762,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.055386,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.019802,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043223,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014127,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014416,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.064008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004844,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005952,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.465634,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03956,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036275,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036223,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 517.35,
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        "trend": 652.745121,
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        "relative_strength": 29.977391,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 84.214327,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 659.781787,
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        "relative_strength": 27.440658,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 1647,
        "typical_volume": 2311.9,
        "trend": 666.351786,
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        "relative_strength": 29.460578,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 81.661844,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 781.599976,
        "volume": 3044,
        "typical_volume": 2414.8,
        "trend": 672.896665,
        "fair_value": 465.343292,
        "relative_strength": 28.039266,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 4350,
        "typical_volume": 2534.05,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 2439.15,
        "trend": 682.843333,
        "fair_value": 470.841049,
        "relative_strength": 18.159241,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 15.042974,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 95,
        "typical_volume": 2038.45,
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        "relative_strength": 12.339856,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 24.549795,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 167,
        "typical_volume": 1962.0,
        "trend": 702.229999,
        "fair_value": 481.569895,
        "relative_strength": 11.686332,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 20.820851,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 944,
        "typical_volume": 1894.85,
        "trend": 706.326666,
        "fair_value": 484.118614,
        "relative_strength": 9.146043,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 13.4183,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 716.799988,
        "volume": 1378,
        "typical_volume": 1852.15,
        "trend": 710.306665,
        "fair_value": 486.57246,
        "relative_strength": 8.203969,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -1.063729,
        "energy": 13.273769,
        "activity_lines": [
          727.886674,
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          731.149894
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 728.0,
        "volume": 264,
        "typical_volume": 1757.9,
        "trend": 714.919999,
        "fair_value": 489.111562,
        "relative_strength": 8.869189,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 6.732659,
        "energy": 15.744585,
        "activity_lines": [
          726.053337,
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          740.167622,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 710.0,
        "volume": 720,
        "typical_volume": 1583.3,
        "trend": 718.433333,
        "fair_value": 491.505793,
        "relative_strength": 4.030283,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -8.007496,
        "energy": 21.470509,
        "activity_lines": [
          719.746667,
          727.543641,
          737.771431,
          731.97398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 723.700012,
        "volume": 915,
        "typical_volume": 1541.0,
        "trend": 721.36,
        "fair_value": 493.946178,
        "relative_strength": 3.09415,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.255145,
        "energy": 29.514324,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}