{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e191862-3dac-404e-93dd-9f2b32a455a6", "symbol": "3221", "name": "Tai-Saw Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.222, "architecture_energy": 18.282, "architecture_maturity": 55.752, "architecture_confidence": 73.666, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.99, "rotation_up": 16.21, "upward_expansion": 41.24, "deceleration": 86.59, "rotation_down": 39.81, "downward_expansion": 32.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.786668, 50.633472, 51.850609, 48.569575 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 47.450001, "trend_reference": 43.248478, "distance_from_trend": 0.097148, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.191246, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.745047, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.201489, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.687834, "excess_performance": 0.246462, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.097148, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.334677, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.745047, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113113, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.082015, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069356, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.687834, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.058953, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13600888, "relative_activity": 0.275271, "balance": 3.058953, "dry_up": 0.355409, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.212823, "annualized_volatility": 0.837555, "from_high_reference": -0.313938, "from_low_reference": 1.732453 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.248478, "fair_value_reference": 27.191246, "structural_low": 26.023144, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.004746, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.009653, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.305164, "worst_return": -0.040876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.012852, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.005522, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.446043, "worst_return": -0.005848, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.115857, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.18149, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.738609, "worst_return": -0.082852, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.769881, "energy": 24.02781, "activity_lines": [ 53.531726, 56.094314, 52.631294, 47.741838 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.200001, "volume": 23414854, "typical_volume": 52058269.25, "trend": 41.652714, "fair_value": 26.918993, "relative_strength": 8.338797, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.941762, "energy": 19.543536, "activity_lines": [ 49.668559, 53.732144, 52.271154, 47.955648 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 46.150002, "volume": 19396662, "typical_volume": 52223993.0, "trend": 42.431417, "fair_value": 27.048874, "relative_strength": 9.634067, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.711633, "energy": 19.23457, "activity_lines": [ 47.350001, 51.941363, 52.021782, 48.245796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 47.450001, "volume": 13600888, "typical_volume": 49409043.1, "trend": 43.248478, "fair_value": 27.191246, "relative_strength": 8.201489, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.222231, "energy": 18.282424, "activity_lines": [ 46.786668, 50.633472, 51.850609, 48.569575 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }