{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e22d07d-2edc-40b2-b635-a54b137152ce", "symbol": "SQQQ", "name": "ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.971, "architecture_energy": 43.06, "architecture_maturity": 95.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.294, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.84, "rotation_up": 27.91, "upward_expansion": 23.77, "deceleration": 46.94, "rotation_down": 37.74, "downward_expansion": 62.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 717.644002, 710.524339, 737.667579, 844.271755 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 650.76001, "trend_reference": 969.730648, "distance_from_trend": -0.328927, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 580.961754, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.120143, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.873986, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.456081, "excess_performance": -0.401414, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.328927, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102622, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.120143, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156706, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.21874, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.115603, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.456081, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.102439, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11572, "relative_activity": 0.374569, "balance": 2.102439, "dry_up": 2.169691, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127767, "annualized_volatility": 0.67199, "from_high_reference": -0.603195, "from_low_reference": 1.80573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 969.730648, "fair_value_reference": 580.961754, 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"relative_strength": -10.495274, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.15941, "energy": 61.335742, "activity_lines": [ 683.463355, 701.238127, 867.420599, 963.793251 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 702.5, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25394.9, "trend": 1048.746828, "fair_value": 574.97583, "relative_strength": -12.616912, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.180202, "energy": 71.033972, "activity_lines": [ 689.881905, 695.432152, 838.38077, 940.387472 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 660.0, "volume": 54959, "typical_volume": 27485.15, "trend": 1031.084629, "fair_value": 575.708797, "relative_strength": -17.688566, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.798152, "energy": 80.100959, "activity_lines": [ 679.193319, 685.489302, 807.77705, 915.307032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 746.429993, "volume": 118333, "typical_volume": 33159.1, "trend": 1014.685242, "fair_value": 577.167953, "relative_strength": -7.844456, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.103373, "energy": 62.751768, "activity_lines": [ 702.479325, 695.281265, 787.991671, 896.942216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 786.0, "volume": 117350, "typical_volume": 33547.8, "trend": 1002.171549, "fair_value": 578.937716, "relative_strength": -3.507795, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.830623, "energy": 46.475825, "activity_lines": [ 734.463997, 711.840021, 774.206891, 882.18833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 750.0, "volume": 20868, "typical_volume": 33453.3, "trend": 986.295378, "fair_value": 580.375214, "relative_strength": -9.372905, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.335772, "energy": 37.046002, "activity_lines": [ 743.719332, 720.588914, 759.226081, 865.919198 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 650.76001, "volume": 11572, "typical_volume": 30894.15, "trend": 969.730648, "fair_value": 580.961754, "relative_strength": -21.873986, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.970954, "energy": 43.059899, "activity_lines": [ 717.644002, 710.524339, 737.667579, 844.271755 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }