{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e2c3b91-0435-4951-8807-3bad82facdf3", "symbol": "XAUG", "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY ENHANCE & MODERATE BUFFER ETF - AUGUST", "exchange": "CBOE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 72.756, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.594, "architecture_energy": 88.254, "architecture_maturity": 51.082, "architecture_confidence": 72.192, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 1.73, "rotation_up": 66.95, "upward_expansion": 97.54, "deceleration": 40.78, "rotation_down": 28.29, "downward_expansion": 19.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.323147, 39.218362, 38.996435, 38.666163 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 39.415, "trend_reference": 38.275747, "distance_from_trend": 0.029764, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 34.547146, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.140905, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.761083, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.046015, "excess_performance": -0.07961, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029764, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017359, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.140905, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008045, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067611, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001134, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.046015, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.119868, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10192, "relative_activity": 0.127769, "balance": 0.119868, "dry_up": 0.07004, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.004198, "annualized_volatility": 0.043725, "from_high_reference": -0.000887, "from_low_reference": 0.09547 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 38.275747, "fair_value_reference": 34.547146, "structural_low": 36.53, 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39.084373, 38.990684, 38.65079, 38.361115 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.2, "volume": 509, "typical_volume": 79589.55, "trend": 38.09329, "fair_value": 34.452555, "relative_strength": -4.076267, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.812431, "energy": 90.953753, "activity_lines": [ 39.13868, 39.043255, 38.739912, 38.436565 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.26, "volume": 4707, "typical_volume": 79633.1, "trend": 38.151643, "fair_value": 34.483976, "relative_strength": -3.226931, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.010889, "energy": 91.642113, "activity_lines": [ 39.192987, 39.097098, 38.827449, 38.511837 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.3443, "volume": 6940, "typical_volume": 79635.4, "trend": 38.215593, "fair_value": 34.515537, "relative_strength": -3.873293, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.585728, "energy": 91.383839, "activity_lines": [ 39.260093, 39.156178, 38.913729, 38.588782 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.415, "volume": 10192, "typical_volume": 79768.9, "trend": 38.275747, "fair_value": 34.547146, "relative_strength": -6.761083, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.593899, "energy": 88.253875, "activity_lines": [ 39.323147, 39.218362, 38.996435, 38.666163 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }