{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e31aedc-656f-4b66-a764-ccd06a534b49", "symbol": "GLORY", "name": "Glory Forever Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 80.579, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.51, "architecture_energy": 12.77, "architecture_maturity": 49.235, "architecture_confidence": 76.788, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.49, "rotation_up": 19.91, "upward_expansion": 46.26, "deceleration": 78.87, "rotation_down": 25.22, "downward_expansion": 24.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.060667, 1.080545, 1.101667, 1.027204 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 1.03, "trend_reference": 0.911333, "distance_from_trend": 0.130212, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.211474, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.149796, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.886698, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.716667, "excess_performance": 0.524342, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.130212, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147293, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.149796, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089204, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.008867, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.322357, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.716667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.272724, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 266800, "relative_activity": 0.083318, "balance": 1.272724, "dry_up": 0.066876, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.120986, "annualized_volatility": 1.022614, "from_high_reference": -0.335484, "from_low_reference": 0.980769 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.911333, "fair_value_reference": 1.211474, "structural_low": 0.52, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.046029, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.06858, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.037383, "worst_return": -0.157143, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.26461, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.196036, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.25, "worst_return": -0.279221, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.421753, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.310211, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.421429, "worst_return": -0.422078, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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22.924908, "activity_lines": [ 1.106667, 1.115455, 1.08019, 0.981484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.07, "volume": 235400, "typical_volume": 3186655.0, "trend": 0.883, "fair_value": 1.245, "relative_strength": -0.095687, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.461181, "energy": 21.334468, "activity_lines": [ 1.091333, 1.104909, 1.089524, 0.994172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.09, "volume": 284700, "typical_volume": 3189500.0, "trend": 0.893, "fair_value": 1.2325, "relative_strength": 1.539287, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.818666, "energy": 18.356356, "activity_lines": [ 1.086667, 1.102, 1.098524, 1.007527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.07, "volume": 69700, "typical_volume": 3191680.0, "trend": 0.902, "fair_value": 1.220385, "relative_strength": 1.483256, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.564887, "energy": 13.817001, "activity_lines": [ 1.074667, 1.094, 1.103143, 1.018946 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.03, "volume": 266800, "typical_volume": 3202205.0, "trend": 0.911333, "fair_value": 1.211474, "relative_strength": -0.886698, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.510495, "energy": 12.770168, "activity_lines": [ 1.060667, 1.080545, 1.101667, 1.027204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }