{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4e326b11-3c6d-45d3-b40d-6eb7091756ae",
    "symbol": "EAPR",
    "name": "INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST EMERGING MARKETS POWER BUFFER ETF APRIL",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 52.273,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 49.686,
    "architecture_energy": 22.654,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.647,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.882,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 52.6,
        "rotation_up": 35.21,
        "upward_expansion": 58.61,
        "deceleration": 84.5,
        "rotation_down": 25.44,
        "downward_expansion": 17.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.471873,
        32.475249,
        32.469668,
        32.082977
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 32.9689,
    "trend_reference": 31.497707,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.046708,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.41291,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.202678,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.707094,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.098839,
    "excess_performance": -0.026786,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046708,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03205,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202678,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036887,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.037071,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041794,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098839,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.844245,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 46891,
      "relative_activity": 0.457791,
      "balance": 0.844245,
      "dry_up": 0.490126,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024868,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.116417,
      "from_high_reference": -0.014674,
      "from_low_reference": 0.164152
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.497707,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.41291,
      "structural_low": 29.66,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.021559,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.018625,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.035271,
        "worst_return": -0.036414,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.036589,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.065021,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.051298,
        "worst_return": -0.005056,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.030089,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.095992,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.031349,
        "worst_return": 0.028829,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.070032,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.180743,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.088102,
        "worst_return": 0.051963,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2023-10-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014083,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-27",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044618,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-01-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.001016,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.021645,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.03004,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005978,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004054,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.029924,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "fair_value": 27.225582,
        "relative_strength": -2.562226,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 43302,
        "typical_volume": 97965.8,
        "trend": 31.23215,
        "fair_value": 27.270545,
        "relative_strength": -3.32008,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.603212,
        "energy": 21.647822,
        "activity_lines": [
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          32.331197,
          31.859116
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.011,
        "volume": 89383,
        "typical_volume": 101552.65,
        "trend": 31.307033,
        "fair_value": 27.312154,
        "relative_strength": -2.354476,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.083539,
        "energy": 19.524504,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.2004,
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          32.34416,
          31.909365
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.4243,
        "volume": 21236,
        "typical_volume": 101953.75,
        "trend": 31.395177,
        "fair_value": 27.359521,
        "relative_strength": -2.074942,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.908603,
        "energy": 14.074393,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.23916,
          32.38592,
          32.386682,
          31.981446
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.9689,
        "volume": 46891,
        "typical_volume": 102428.8,
        "trend": 31.497707,
        "fair_value": 27.41291,
        "relative_strength": -3.707094,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.686082,
        "energy": 22.65352,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.471873,
          32.475249,
          32.469668,
          32.082977
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}