{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e34da62-6f69-4ec7-8af5-f3b5d7e788d7", "symbol": "GIGA", "name": "Gigante Salmon AS", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.971, "architecture_energy": 49.445, "architecture_maturity": 45.484, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.53, "rotation_up": 28.48, "upward_expansion": 13.15, "deceleration": 53.42, "rotation_down": 47.65, "downward_expansion": 77.49 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.888, 6.898545, 7.360048, 7.656882 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.82, "trend_reference": 7.929667, "distance_from_trend": -0.139939, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.990593, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.146496, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.071618, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.182254, "excess_performance": -0.307248, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.139939, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047106, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.146496, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.22966, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.250716, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178035, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.182254, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.32196, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69476, "relative_activity": 0.268132, "balance": 0.32196, "dry_up": 0.373361, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071058, "annualized_volatility": 0.417329, "from_high_reference": -0.38, "from_low_reference": 0.140468 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.929667, "fair_value_reference": 7.990593, "structural_low": 5.98, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.064073, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.307692, "median_excess_return": 0.047348, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.246114, "worst_return": -0.134539, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.06043, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.023954, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.209173, "worst_return": -0.067358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.032118, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.105617, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.08805, "worst_return": -0.206249, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.207963, "energy": 77.43434, "activity_lines": [ 6.853333, 7.081091, 7.783095, 7.948753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.02, "volume": 191797, "typical_volume": 280847.8, "trend": 8.078333, "fair_value": 8.081266, "relative_strength": -22.042472, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.732898, "energy": 72.464242, "activity_lines": [ 6.892, 7.006909, 7.682095, 7.879699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.0, "volume": 67562, "typical_volume": 267862.55, "trend": 8.049667, "fair_value": 8.054831, "relative_strength": -23.625809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.204472, "energy": 61.39029, "activity_lines": [ 6.929333, 6.965091, 7.582048, 7.810129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.84, "volume": 58132, "typical_volume": 265490.15, "trend": 7.985667, "fair_value": 8.022935, "relative_strength": -25.149185, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.1054, "energy": 51.93872, "activity_lines": [ 6.913333, 6.928, 7.47019, 7.732086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.82, "volume": 69476, "typical_volume": 259110.75, "trend": 7.929667, "fair_value": 7.990593, "relative_strength": -25.071618, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.971366, "energy": 49.445374, "activity_lines": [ 6.888, 6.898545, 7.360048, 7.656882 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }