{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e37f519-0817-4036-b92b-047bfc104dcd", "symbol": "301235", "name": "Wuhan Huakang Century Clean Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 76.391, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -28.304, "architecture_energy": 62.086, "architecture_maturity": 18.03, "architecture_confidence": 77.984, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.11, "rotation_up": 14.03, "upward_expansion": 27.96, "deceleration": 50.01, "rotation_down": 71.65, "downward_expansion": 55.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.765333, 49.031636, 54.849394, 54.584886 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 44.0, "trend_reference": 53.357507, "distance_from_trend": -0.175374, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.244989, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.504531, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -3.201409, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.155992, "excess_performance": -0.163392, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.175374, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.165027, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.504531, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.670141, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.032014, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.382324, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.155992, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.674924, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 39426780, "relative_activity": 1.375433, "balance": 0.674924, "dry_up": 1.600262, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.230398, "annualized_volatility": 0.808864, "from_high_reference": -0.447612, "from_low_reference": 0.587792 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.357507, "fair_value_reference": 29.244989, "structural_low": 32.009998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 56.48, "volume": 39681731, "typical_volume": 26718644.45, "trend": 53.0199, "fair_value": 28.973922, "relative_strength": 19.251192, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.496251, "energy": 23.956037, "activity_lines": [ 63.886666, 65.535876, 61.49891, 58.142708 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.68, "volume": 38901750, "typical_volume": 26963098.2, "trend": 53.318658, "fair_value": 29.039203, "relative_strength": -3.893427, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": -4.331867, "energy": 15.832688, "activity_lines": [ 56.063999, 61.155121, 59.950998, 57.411102 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.279999, "volume": 57848500, "typical_volume": 27854828.25, "trend": 53.351327, "fair_value": 29.087572, "relative_strength": -16.909187, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -43.47726, "energy": 44.131309, "activity_lines": [ 48.082666, 56.10388, 57.944413, 56.311834 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.700001, "volume": 47308946, "typical_volume": 28469816.9, "trend": 53.116366, "fair_value": 29.135903, "relative_strength": -17.19098, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -40.621282, "energy": 58.885492, "activity_lines": [ 41.914, 51.475273, 55.970423, 55.173038 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.0, "volume": 39426780, "typical_volume": 28664985.85, "trend": 53.357507, "fair_value": 29.244989, "relative_strength": -3.201409, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.303878, "energy": 62.086018, "activity_lines": [ 40.765333, 49.031636, 54.849394, 54.584886 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }