{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e476055-8898-4ba2-bfa6-bdc1b6bbc928", "symbol": "JHS", "name": "JHS Svendgaard Laboratories Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.38, "architecture_energy": 42.251, "architecture_maturity": 65.143, "architecture_confidence": 87.228, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.74, "rotation_up": 21.99, "upward_expansion": 5.57, "deceleration": 56.55, "rotation_down": 52.72, "downward_expansion": 78.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.618, 7.667273, 8.036238, 8.270409 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.83, "trend_reference": 8.738333, "distance_from_trend": -0.103948, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.248846, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.546057, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.10008, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.291403, "excess_performance": -0.247694, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.103948, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099017, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.546057, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035107, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.191001, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029559, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.291403, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.977386, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 273752, "relative_activity": 0.776715, "balance": 1.977386, "dry_up": 0.972503, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081639, "annualized_volatility": 0.425867, "from_high_reference": -0.436691, "from_low_reference": 0.250799 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.738333, "fair_value_reference": 17.248846, "structural_low": 6.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.009375, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.016858, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.255319, "worst_return": -0.231978, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.099237, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.073722, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.37512, "worst_return": -0.278386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.08147, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.166772, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.545161, "worst_return": -0.359562, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.188226, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.020966, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004104, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.364044, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041298, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.670227, "energy": 77.545854, "activity_lines": [ 7.578667, 7.886364, 8.22481, 8.516022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.49, "volume": 156970, "typical_volume": 362166.75, "trend": 8.893, "fair_value": 17.440192, "relative_strength": -21.244726, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.289642, "energy": 72.677297, "activity_lines": [ 7.519333, 7.769636, 8.142381, 8.420237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.57, "volume": 805392, "typical_volume": 373162.15, "trend": 8.829333, "fair_value": 17.343526, "relative_strength": -21.706673, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.026995, "energy": 56.993667, "activity_lines": [ 7.52, 7.685636, 8.074762, 8.334882 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.83, "volume": 273752, "typical_volume": 352448.3, "trend": 8.738333, "fair_value": 17.248846, "relative_strength": -19.10008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.379652, "energy": 42.251228, "activity_lines": [ 7.618, 7.667273, 8.036238, 8.270409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }