{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e5ba8f6-ca8c-42ad-91af-6223023a291a", "symbol": "DK13", "name": "Deka DAX (aussch\u00fcttend) UCITS ETF", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.851, "architecture_energy": 64.919, "architecture_maturity": 6.648, "architecture_confidence": 70.855, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.95, "rotation_up": 64.83, "upward_expansion": 86.68, "deceleration": 45.96, "rotation_down": 17.38, "downward_expansion": 15.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 94.136665, 93.295817, 92.526523, 91.802817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 96.839996, "trend_reference": 91.522333, "distance_from_trend": 0.058102, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 80.063205, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.209544, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.551891, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.043647, "excess_performance": -0.1306, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.058102, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008111, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.209544, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038972, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135519, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018029, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.043647, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": null, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": null, "balance": null, "dry_up": null, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024871, "annualized_volatility": 0.197186, "from_high_reference": -0.000929, "from_low_reference": 0.1771 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 91.522333, "fair_value_reference": 80.063205, "structural_low": 82.269997, "invalidation": "A 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"volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 91.312, "fair_value": 79.120193, "relative_strength": -16.876653, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.544597, "energy": 19.622384, "activity_lines": [ 92.384666, 92.236545, 91.194381, 91.169764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 92.419998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 91.365334, "fair_value": 79.302949, "relative_strength": -17.431548, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.752799, "energy": 17.691434, "activity_lines": [ 92.493332, 92.325636, 91.366047, 91.241247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 91.040001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 91.359334, "fair_value": 79.475128, "relative_strength": -16.56062, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.201512, "energy": 11.516209, "activity_lines": [ 92.157333, 92.137636, 91.417524, 91.220258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 92.209999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 91.386, "fair_value": 79.64718, "relative_strength": -16.142979, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.355828, "energy": 19.956861, "activity_lines": [ 92.175999, 92.160727, 91.599476, 91.27514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 94.18, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 91.455, "fair_value": 79.845064, "relative_strength": -13.859611, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.074316, "energy": 35.749651, "activity_lines": [ 92.836666, 92.494909, 91.951143, 91.455398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 96.839996, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.0, "trend": 91.522333, "fair_value": 80.063205, "relative_strength": -13.551891, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.850886, "energy": 64.91915, "activity_lines": [ 94.136665, 93.295817, 92.526523, 91.802817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }