{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4e63b499-7dc4-452c-b9c5-92ce6908dfb2",
    "symbol": "SAFETY-B",
    "name": "mySafety Group AB",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 55.105,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 19.272,
    "architecture_energy": 10.183,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.027,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.957,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.78,
        "rotation_up": 26.3,
        "upward_expansion": 46.24,
        "deceleration": 81.5,
        "rotation_down": 25.19,
        "downward_expansion": 24.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.28,
        19.294708,
        19.33768,
        19.176989
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 19.4,
    "trend_reference": 19.093624,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.016046,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.224851,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.586931,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.131499,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.010204,
    "excess_performance": -0.071698,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016046,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05295,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.586931,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116793,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051315,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0581,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010204,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.743379,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 35607,
      "relative_activity": 0.317261,
      "balance": 4.743379,
      "dry_up": 0.256904,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049699,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.251589,
      "from_high_reference": -0.095571,
      "from_low_reference": 0.285311
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.093624,
      "fair_value_reference": 12.224851,
      "structural_low": 17.010213,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.002652,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023093,
        "regime_survival": 0.583333,
        "best_return": 0.208044,
        "worst_return": -0.180392,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.103356,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.085836,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.255565,
        "worst_return": -0.270588,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.051584,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.056512,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.219904,
        "worst_return": -0.1875,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.458824,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.302745,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.166971,
        "worst_return": -0.493193,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.083652,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.118457,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.199357,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.066838,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.87151,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.118343,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.063874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.107955,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.116456,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2026-01-23",
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        "return": 0.202038,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038542,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.072724,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "return": -0.009193,
        "active": true
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    ],
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      {
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        "fair_value": 12.019291,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 126811.6,
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        "fair_value": 12.085157,
        "relative_strength": -3.313155,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 24.05847,
        "energy": 13.719981,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.32,
        "volume": 25359,
        "typical_volume": 123839.85,
        "trend": 19.030291,
        "fair_value": 12.154613,
        "relative_strength": -3.852339,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.480978,
        "energy": 11.465638,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.228,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.4,
        "volume": 35607,
        "typical_volume": 112232.4,
        "trend": 19.093624,
        "fair_value": 12.224851,
        "relative_strength": -5.131499,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 19.272459,
        "energy": 10.182902,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}