{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e84ecd2-24a7-4928-aba9-5ba8d826f02a", "symbol": "6847", "name": "Puriblood Medical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 92.688, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.453, "architecture_energy": 20.228, "architecture_maturity": 33.214, "architecture_confidence": 73.817, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.24, "rotation_up": 36.57, "upward_expansion": 58.23, "deceleration": 80.27, "rotation_down": 22.9, "downward_expansion": 17.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 76.466668, 76.512728, 74.386904, 72.167634 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 79.300003, "trend_reference": 71.031666, "distance_from_trend": 0.116404, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 91.940705, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.137488, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.591602, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.054521, "excess_performance": -0.386851, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.116404, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033113, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.137488, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.221363, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.215916, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.222611, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.054521, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.051531, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 175960, "relative_activity": 0.957941, "balance": 2.051531, "dry_up": 0.896486, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.133767, "annualized_volatility": 0.593423, "from_high_reference": -0.153682, "from_low_reference": 0.660733 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.031666, "fair_value_reference": 91.940705, "structural_low": 47.75, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.021241, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.002641, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.195564, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.102328, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.124425, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.064655, "worst_return": -0.14, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.248741, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.312509, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.238, "worst_return": -0.259483, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.294828, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.230133, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.294828, "worst_return": -0.294828, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-02-16", "end": "2024-03-01", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.007692, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-08", "end": "2024-04-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.097561, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.043103, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.018182, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.061674, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.085, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.054976, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.008, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.038647, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Extended", 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.43094, "energy": 25.547409, "activity_lines": [ 77.399999, 77.556363, 71.911666, 70.904623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 73.0, "volume": 40868, "typical_volume": 166133.15, "trend": 70.578333, "fair_value": 92.897756, "relative_strength": -27.20506, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.919563, "energy": 24.426434, "activity_lines": [ 76.18, 77.036363, 72.306666, 71.067311 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.099998, "volume": 96200, "typical_volume": 169648.25, "trend": 70.718332, "fair_value": 92.565064, "relative_strength": -26.177882, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.52535, "energy": 18.747447, "activity_lines": [ 74.899999, 76.14909, 72.60738, 71.165483 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.800003, "volume": 345659, "typical_volume": 178821.8, "trend": 70.848332, "fair_value": 92.236859, "relative_strength": -21.305559, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.244077, "energy": 18.205043, "activity_lines": [ 75.393334, 76.209091, 73.444285, 71.622365 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 79.300003, "volume": 175960, "typical_volume": 183685.7, "trend": 71.031666, "fair_value": 91.940705, "relative_strength": -21.591602, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.452642, "energy": 20.22823, "activity_lines": [ 76.466668, 76.512728, 74.386904, 72.167634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }