{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4e878f7b-7808-43bd-865d-768d9b68e775",
    "symbol": "HCL",
    "name": "HighCom Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -68.346,
    "architecture_energy": 54.89,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.185,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.3,
        "rotation_up": 25.83,
        "upward_expansion": 8.8,
        "deceleration": 60.14,
        "rotation_down": 54.28,
        "downward_expansion": 82.14
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.115667,
        0.119182,
        0.137583,
        0.15179
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.11,
    "trend_reference": 0.174083,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.368119,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.235561,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.533029,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -54.464462,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.511111,
    "excess_performance": -0.574817,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.368119,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222553,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.533029,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.253584,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.544645,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.22933,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.511111,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.507205,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 865931,
      "relative_activity": 1.099383,
      "balance": 0.507205,
      "dry_up": 0.93093,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.203497,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.557703,
      "from_high_reference": -0.792453,
      "from_low_reference": 0.111111
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.174083,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.235561,
      "structural_low": 0.099,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -0.040064,
        "positive_rate": 0.34375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.59375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027815,
        "regime_survival": 0.875,
        "best_return": 0.571429,
        "worst_return": -0.24059,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.018499,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006799,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.46875,
        "worst_return": -0.384034,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.327787,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.335902,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.393939,
        "worst_return": -0.507227,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.036853,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051783,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.569767,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.068966,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.068182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.157895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.117647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030303,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.088235,
        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
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        "return": 0.27027,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "trend": 0.190583,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 81.82117,
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          0.119,
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          0.150524,
          0.165516
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.12,
        "volume": 483755,
        "typical_volume": 816789.25,
        "trend": 0.186417,
        "fair_value": 0.238894,
        "relative_strength": -49.867477,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 58.753459,
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          0.118667,
          0.127364,
          0.146345,
          0.160962
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.115,
        "volume": 304940,
        "typical_volume": 804141.95,
        "trend": 0.18075,
        "fair_value": 0.23726,
        "relative_strength": -52.040015,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.803072,
        "energy": 56.909159,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.118333,
          0.123182,
          0.142024,
          0.156355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.11,
        "volume": 865931,
        "typical_volume": 787651.65,
        "trend": 0.174083,
        "fair_value": 0.235561,
        "relative_strength": -54.464462,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.345861,
        "energy": 54.890474,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.115667,
          0.119182,
          0.137583,
          0.15179
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}