{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "4e88e0b1-c293-4d93-9d60-6461f8bc104f",
    "symbol": "KNGZ",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST S&P 500 DIVERSIFIED DIVIDEND ARISTOCRATS ETF",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.901,
    "architecture_energy": 75.397,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.276,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.345,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.99,
        "rotation_up": 62.78,
        "upward_expansion": 88.88,
        "deceleration": 47.69,
        "rotation_down": 22.37,
        "downward_expansion": 15.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        41.391053,
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        40.394461,
        39.605423
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 42.6211,
    "trend_reference": 38.747868,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.09996,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 32.434848,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.314053,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.368246,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.111099,
    "excess_performance": -0.076354,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09996,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048505,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.314053,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060867,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003682,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077862,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111099,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.742966,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 38127,
      "relative_activity": 1.430453,
      "balance": 1.742966,
      "dry_up": 1.137558,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.024906,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.142237,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000678,
      "from_low_reference": 0.291227
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 32.434848,
      "structural_low": 35.174391,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.014956,
        "positive_rate": 0.69697,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.69697,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013694,
        "regime_survival": 0.787879,
        "best_return": 0.061272,
        "worst_return": -0.086142,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "worst_return": -0.069168,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01308,
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        "worst_return": -0.00228,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.016205,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "relative_strength": -3.902546,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -3.411254,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -3.750583,
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        "energy": 52.44993,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 40.3584,
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        "typical_volume": 25181.15,
        "trend": 37.913835,
        "fair_value": 31.986634,
        "relative_strength": -3.700421,
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        "direction": 59.085461,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 38.079452,
        "fair_value": 32.077638,
        "relative_strength": -3.56097,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 67.774728,
        "energy": 47.662597,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.5847,
        "volume": 27137,
        "typical_volume": 24766.3,
        "trend": 38.237528,
        "fair_value": 32.163069,
        "relative_strength": -0.576063,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.853736,
        "energy": 43.686799,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.582434,
          40.548451,
          39.683497,
          39.027055
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.6304,
        "volume": 18343,
        "typical_volume": 24671.15,
        "trend": 38.390522,
        "fair_value": 32.247038,
        "relative_strength": 1.154067,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.513431,
        "energy": 43.554761,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.636067,
          40.59737,
          39.868429,
          39.181434
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.9015,
        "volume": 37674,
        "typical_volume": 25481.55,
        "trend": 38.560243,
        "fair_value": 32.335238,
        "relative_strength": 1.256561,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.086539,
        "energy": 54.293227,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.755267,
          40.655009,
          40.061726,
          39.343433
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.6211,
        "volume": 38127,
        "typical_volume": 26653.8,
        "trend": 38.747868,
        "fair_value": 32.434848,
        "relative_strength": 0.368246,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.901481,
        "energy": 75.397316,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.391053,
          41.01164,
          40.394461,
          39.605423
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}