{ "ticker": { "uuid": "4e8e5ab2-20cc-48bc-98cb-d58062d5a251", "symbol": "DCRU", "name": "Digital Core REIT", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.034, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.582, "architecture_energy": 61.463, "architecture_maturity": 15.942, "architecture_confidence": 93.599, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.48, "rotation_up": 12.5, "upward_expansion": 13.42, "deceleration": 38.6, "rotation_down": 64.99, "downward_expansion": 86.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.474802, 0.480545, 0.488671, 0.492738 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.475, "trend_reference": 0.499618, "distance_from_trend": -0.049273, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.505188, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.059757, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.989345, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.054107, "excess_performance": -0.208942, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.049273, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000997, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.059757, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095182, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.189893, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.140724, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.054107, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.236976, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13338100, "relative_activity": 1.238462, "balance": 0.236976, "dry_up": 1.365761, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036148, "annualized_volatility": 0.135977, "from_high_reference": -0.144585, "from_low_reference": 0.069268 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.499618, "fair_value_reference": 0.505188, "structural_low": 0.457371, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.021278, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.024775, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.110542, "worst_return": -0.13158, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.050939, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.019581, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.238103, "worst_return": 0.003384, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.047728, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.050269, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.38181, "worst_return": -0.011108, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 0.504173, "relative_strength": -17.450812, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.705304, "energy": 34.718915, "activity_lines": [ 0.489446, 0.49135, 0.496735, 0.499639 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.476629, "volume": 16351100, "typical_volume": 10291900.0, "trend": 0.502065, "fair_value": 0.504279, "relative_strength": -17.510067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.893052, "energy": 46.206827, "activity_lines": [ 0.484821, 0.488055, 0.494688, 0.498006 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.476629, "volume": 11737800, "typical_volume": 10097280.0, "trend": 0.501857, "fair_value": 0.504674, "relative_strength": -18.195504, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.192913, "energy": 58.495819, "activity_lines": [ 0.480755, 0.485458, 0.492823, 0.496365 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.471814, "volume": 17409400, "typical_volume": 10446200.0, "trend": 0.501167, "fair_value": 0.504962, "relative_strength": -19.063683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.679482, "energy": 68.104163, "activity_lines": [ 0.476308, 0.482501, 0.490564, 0.494426 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.475, "volume": 13338100, "typical_volume": 10769890.0, "trend": 0.499618, "fair_value": 0.505188, "relative_strength": -18.989345, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.582407, "energy": 61.462635, "activity_lines": [ 0.474802, 0.480545, 0.488671, 0.492738 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }